Australian Business Conditions Hold Steady as Easing Cost Pressures Face New Oil Price Risks 
U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Select Brazilian Imports After Section 301 Trade Investigation 
South Korea Raises Interest Rates to 2.75% as Inflation and Weak Won Drive Tightening 
US Stock Futures Hold Steady as Soft Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears 
Gold Prices Slip as Oil Rally Fuels Inflation Fears, Strengthens Dollar 
Dollar Slides as Softer US Inflation Dims Fed Rate Hike Expectations 
China Q2 2026 GDP Misses Forecast as Weak Domestic Demand Offsets Export Strength 
Asian Stocks Slide as Chip Selloff Deepens Ahead of TSMC Earnings 
Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Tensions Offset Weaker US Dollar 
Asian Stocks Rally as Cooling U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes 
Gold Price Holds Near Record High as Cooling U.S. Inflation Offsets Fed Caution 
Oil Prices Climb as Trump Escalates Iran Pressure, Strait of Hormuz Risks Grow 
Oil Prices Rise as U.S. Strikes on Iran Raise Strait of Hormuz Supply Fears 
UBS Boosts China Tech Bets, Adds Kuaishou and Meituan to Focus List 
South Korea’s KOSPI Enters Bear Market Despite Remaining 2026’s Best-Performing Major Stock Index 
Oil Prices Surge as U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates and Strait of Hormuz Risks Grow 
The U.S. dollar remained steady on Tuesday, hovering close to a three-month high, as mixed signals from the Federal Reserve prompted traders to scale back expectations for further interest rate cuts. Investors are also closely watching the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep rates unchanged.
The yen weakened to 154.38 per dollar, near its lowest level in over eight months, triggering concerns of possible intervention from Japanese authorities. Meanwhile, differing opinions among Fed officials and a lack of official economic data due to the U.S. government shutdown have fueled uncertainty about the central bank’s policy direction.
After last week’s rate cut, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that it could be the final reduction for the year. Market pricing now shows a 65% probability of another cut in December, down from 94% a week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. This recalibration in expectations has supported the dollar, with the euro slipping 0.11% to $1.1506 and the British pound easing to $1.312. The dollar index rose 0.1% to 99.99, marking a three-month high.
The shutdown has limited access to key economic data, leaving investors reliant on private reports such as ADP’s employment data. A recent ISM survey revealed that U.S. manufacturing contracted for the eighth consecutive month in October, underscoring economic weakness. Analysts at MUFG warned that prolonged shutdown risks could further dampen growth.
In Asia, the yen’s continued weakness contrasts with the Bank of Japan’s cautious stance, even as Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at possible tightening later this year. Analysts expect further yen depreciation unless the BOJ acts soon.
The Australian dollar traded around $0.6535 ahead of the RBA meeting. Stronger-than-expected inflation data has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts, with markets now anticipating only one cut by mid-2026. Economists predict the RBA could strike a more hawkish tone, potentially bolstering the Australian dollar in the coming sessions.
