EURGBP recovered sharply after on board-based Euro buying. Intraday bias remains bullish as long as support 0.8420 holds. It hits an intraday high of 0.84531 and is currently trading around 0.84527.
The ECB's May 2025 Financial Stability Review reveals a euro area financial system that is resilient yet vulnerable, facing a mix of cyclical and structural risks intensified by geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties. Despite a 0.9% GDP growth in 2024, lowered 2025 forecasts, asset market vulnerabilities, trade tensions, and fiscal challenges pose significant risks. Market sentiment appears disconnected from underlying risks, while the banking sector contends with a weakening economy, and non-bank financial firms are exposed to liquidity fragilities. The ECB stresses the need for vigilance and stronger regulatory frameworks, particularly for non-bank financial intermediation, AI, and digital finance innovations, to manage risks in asset markets, fiscal pressures, and evolving technological challenges
Technical Analysis
The pair is currently trading above 55 and 200- EMA and below 365-EMA on the 1-hour chart.
Bearish Trend Confirmation: Any break below 0.8420 confirms an intraday bearish trend. A drop to 0.8378/0.8340/0.8300 is likely.
Near-Term Resistance: The near -term resistance is around 0.84535 (365- H EMA). Any violation above will take the pair to 0.8500/0.8550/0.8605/ 0.8660/0.8765/0.8800.
Indicator Analysis (1-hour chart)
- CCI (50): Bullish
- Average Directional Movement Index: Bullish
Trading Recommendation
It is good to buy on dips around 0.84450 with SL around 0.8400 for a TP of 0.8600.
