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EURUSD Holds Above 1.1600 Despite US CPI, Fed Rate Hike on the Horizon

EURUSD gained above 1.1600 despite strong US CPI data.  The pair hit an intraday low of 1.15691 and is currently trading around 1.16003.

August 2026 US CPI came out as expected: headline +0.4% month over month and +3.4% year over year; core +0.2% month over month and +2.4% year over year. While core stayed stable but chilling, the monthly beat was mostly driven by energy (gasoline/fuel oil) in Middle East conflicts. Markets believe this keeps the Fed on track for a 25 basis point increase at the September 16 meeting as inflation is still present but sluggish.

 

Technicals

CMP -1.16058

Trend

4-hour chart

Value

 

 

55 EMA

1.16169

CMP<value

Bearish

200- EMA

1.16199

CMP<value

Bearish

365- EMA

1.16145

CMP<value

Bearish

800-EMA

1.15841

CMP>value

Bullish

 

Major support- 1.15600/1.1500/1.4700/1.1430. Near-term resistance-11.1660/1.1700.

 

Momentum indicator

Inference

Value

CCI(50)

Bearish

-144.49

ADX

Neutral

Strength increased from 37.45 to 39.55

 

It is good to buy on dips around  1.15970-80  with SL around 1.15668  for a TP of 1.1700/1.1765.

 

 

 

 

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