A weaker than expected ADP employment report rocked the markets yesterday, which pushed down the dollar against most of its major trading counterparts. The market participants have been beating the dollar, whenever there are signs of weakness in the U.S. economy as portrayed by data. However, we can’t say that the same is happening in the interest rates market.
The financial market is waking up to the idea that inflation or weak job numbers are not affecting the rate hike path of the United States. It seems that the Fed is on a mission to deliver on its promises to increase interest rates from the third time this year. It is also thought that the policymakers would begin trimming the balance sheet in September. FOMC policymakers look at numerous data as well as national and international development and the recent commentaries suggest that the risk stemming from a loose monetary policy is currently one of the top considerations.
Ahead of today’s non-farm payroll report, as per Federal funds future, the market is pricing a 60 percent probability that policymakers would hike interest rates by 25 basis points at the December meeting.


Japan PM Sanae Takaichi Unveils Growth Plan as BOJ Independence Concerns Lift Bond Yields
Australia Inflation Cools as Core CPI Misses Forecasts, Easing RBA Rate Hike Pressure
Brazil Cuts Selic Rate to 14% as Inflation Eases but Risks Persist
China Holds Loan Prime Rates Steady for 14th Month as Economic Recovery Remains Uneven
RBA Signals More Rate Hikes Possible as Australia Battles Stubborn Inflation
BOJ Rate Decision in Focus as Sticky Inflation, Weak Yen Shape USD/JPY and Nikkei Outlook




