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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

UK Faces Economic Test as Fiscal Rules Threaten Growth

Britains struggling economy faces a crucial test this month as Finance Minister Rachel Reeves prepares to deliver a public finance update on March 26. Investors fear that enforcing strict fiscal rulesdesigned to balance...

Bank Indonesia Holds Rates to Shield Rupiah, Cuts Expected Next Quarter

Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to keep its benchmark seven-day reverse repurchase rate at 5.75% on Wednesday, prioritizing rupiah stability amid global trade uncertainties. A Reuters poll conducted from March 1017 found...

Asian Stocks Rise Amid Chinese Stimulus Optimism, Trade War Fears Linger

Asian markets climbed Monday as investor optimism grew over Chinas latest stimulus efforts, despite lingering concerns over U.S. trade tariffs. Gains were fueled by Beijings newly announced measures to boost consumer...

China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending Amid Economic Challenges

Chinas State Council introduced a special action plan on Sunday to stimulate domestic consumption, aiming to strengthen household spending and counter deflationary pressures. The plan includes income-boosting measures, a...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent Warns of Economic Turbulence Amid Market Correction

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged the possibility of a recession in an interview with NBCs Meet the Press, citing near-term economic challenges as the Trump administration pushes its agenda. While he...

Politics

DR Congo’s President Meets U.S. Lawmaker Amid Conflict and Investment Talks

Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) President Felix Tshisekedi met U.S. lawmaker Ronny Jackson to discuss ongoing conflict in eastern Congo and potential U.S. investments, according to the Congolese presidency. The meeting...

Germany Pledges €300M in Humanitarian Aid for Syrians Amid Crisis

Germany will provide 300 million ($326 million) in humanitarian aid to Syrians through the United Nations and select organizations, Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock announced ahead of an EU-led donor conference in...

Trump Confirms No Exemptions on Steel, Aluminum Tariffs, Sets April 2 for Sectoral Duties

U.S. President Donald Trump has ruled out exemptions on steel and aluminum tariffs, reaffirming his stance on trade protectionism. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump announced that reciprocal and sectoral tariffs will...

Modi Praises Trump’s Second Term Preparation Amid Trade Tensions

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi commended U.S. President Donald Trumps preparedness for his second term, highlighting a clear roadmap for achieving his goals. Speaking on the Lex Fridman Podcast, Modi emphasized Trumps...

Trump to Speak with Putin on Tuesday to Discuss Ending War

U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday, emphasizing efforts to end the ongoing conflict. Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One late Sunday, Trump...

Science

Leonardo da Vinci’s incredible studies of human anatomy still don’t get the recognition they deserve

Wikimedia, CC BY-SA The mere mention of Leonardo da Vinci evokes genius. We know him as a polymath whose interests spanned astronomy, geology, hydrology, engineering and physics. As a painter, his Mona Lisa and Last Supper...

One of the largest searches for alien life started 30 years ago. Its legacy lives on today

In February 1995, a small research organisation known as the SETI Institute launched what was then the most comprehensive search for an answer to a centuries-old question: are we alone in the universe? This Sunday marks...

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Technology

SpaceX Crew-10 Arrives at ISS to Bring Stranded Astronauts Home

A SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule successfully docked at the International Space Station (ISS) early Sunday, completing a 29-hour journey from NASAs Kennedy Space Center. The Crew-10 mission, which launched Friday at 7:03 p.m....

Baidu Unveils AI Models to Rival DeepSeek, Boosts Competition in China’s AI Race

Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) has launched two new artificial intelligence models, including the reasoning-focused ERNIE X1, aiming to rival Chinese AI startup DeepSeek in an increasingly competitive AI landscape. DeepSeek has...

Elon Musk and OpenAI Set for Expedited Trial Over AI Dispute

Elon Musk and OpenAI have agreed to fast-track their legal battle over OpenAIs transition to a for-profit model, with a trial set for later this year. The case, playing out in the U.S. District Court for the Northern...

NASA and SpaceX Launch Crew-10 to Replace Stranded Astronauts on ISS

NASA and SpaceX successfully launched the Crew-10 mission on Friday, sending four astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS) in a crucial crew rotation. The mission paves the way for the return of NASA astronauts...

NASA and SpaceX Set to Launch Crew-10 Mission to ISS on March 14

NASA and SpaceX are gearing up for the highly anticipated Crew-10 mission, scheduled to launch on Friday, March 14, at 7:03 p.m. EDT (2303 GMT). The mission will carry four astronauts to the International Space Station...