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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

US Dollar Dips as Middle East Tensions Ease; Markets Await Key US Inflation Data

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Monday as improving risk sentiment reduced demand for traditional safe-haven assets. Investors reacted positively after Iran and Israel halted military strikes following a call for restraint...

Gold Prices Ease as Markets Await Key U.S. Inflation Data and Fed Rate Outlook

Gold prices remained under pressure on Monday despite a slightly weaker U.S. dollar, as investors stayed cautious ahead of critical U.S. inflation reports that could influence the Federal Reserves next interest rate...

Oil Prices Rise as Iran-Israel Tensions Ease Following Trump-Led Ceasefire Push

Global oil prices remained higher on Monday, although they gave back part of their earlier gains after Iran and Israel announced a halt to military operations following diplomatic efforts led by U.S. President Donald...

Wall Street Rebounds as Chip Stocks Rally and Iran-Israel Tensions Ease

U.S. stock markets closed mostly higher on Monday, recovering from a sharp sell-off in the previous session as investors welcomed a rebound in semiconductor stocks and signs of easing tensions between Iran and Israel. The...

US Stocks Rebound as Iran Eases Military Operations; Tech Shares Lead Wall Street Recovery

U.S. stocks opened sharply higher on Monday, recovering from last weeks steep market decline as investors reacted positively to reports that Iran had ended its military operations against Israel. The development helped...

Politics

Trump Nominates Todd Blanche for Attorney General, Setting Up Key Senate Confirmation Battle

U.S. President Donald Trump has officially nominated Todd Blanche to serve as the next U.S. attorney general, elevating his former personal lawyer to lead the Department of Justice. The nomination, submitted to the U.S....

Peru Election 2026: Sanchez Takes Narrow Lead Over Fujimori

Leftist candidate Roberto Sanchez moved ahead in Perus closely contested presidential election, securing 50.01% of the vote compared to Keiko Fujimoris 49.9%, according to the latest official count released after 93.92% of...

Trump Lawyers Face Scrutiny After Missing Deadline in $10 Billion BBC Defamation Lawsuit

A federal judge in Miami has ordered President Donald Trumps legal team to explain why they should not face sanctions after missing a court deadline in Trumps $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the BBC. The case...

Italian Investigation Targets Israel’s Itamar Ben-Gvir Over Gaza Flotilla Activists

Italian prosecutors have opened an investigation into Israels far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir over the treatment of activists detained during a Gaza aid flotilla operation last month. According to a...

Lebanese President Urges Israel to Negotiate End to Conflict, Calls Military Approach Ineffective

Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has issued a rare direct appeal to Israel, urging its government and citizens to engage in negotiations to bring an end to the ongoing conflict between the two countries. In an interview with...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI Files Confidential IPO Draft as AI Giants Race Toward Public Markets

OpenAI has confidentially submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), taking a major step toward a potential initial public offering (IPO). The move positions the...

Apple Unveils Enhanced Apple Intelligence and Next-Generation Siri at WWDC 2026

Apple has introduced the latest version of its Apple Intelligence platform at the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) 2026, signaling a stronger push into the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence market. The...

Qualcomm Stock Gains After Jensen Huang Endorsement

Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) shares moved higher in after-hours trading on Monday, rising approximately 2% after NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang publicly praised the semiconductor company and encouraged investors to...

Naver Stock Jumps on NVIDIA Partnership to Build South Korea’s AI Infrastructure

Naver Corp. (KS:035420) shares surged on Monday after the South Korean technology giant announced a major artificial intelligence partnership with NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA). The news fueled strong investor...

Nvidia Expands South Korea AI Partnerships to Strengthen Data Center and Memory Chip Supply

Nvidia has announced a series of strategic partnerships with leading South Korean technology companies as the AI chip giant seeks to strengthen its supply chain and accelerate the growth of its artificial intelligence...
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