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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

Trump Calms Markets with Assurances on Fed and Tariffs

President Trump has gone to reassure markets by indicating that he has no plans to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell from office, walking back previous criticisms. While he once referred to Powell as a major...

Oil Prices Climb as U.S. Sanctions Iran, Trump Eases Fed Pressure

Oil prices extended gains in early Asian trading Wednesday following fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. crude inventories. Market sentiment was also lifted after President Donald Trump...

Asian Markets Rally on Hopes of Eased U.S.-China Tariffs

Asian stocks surged on Wednesday, buoyed by Wall Street gains after U.S. President Donald Trump suggested potential reductions in trade tariffs against China. His remarks sparked investor optimism, despite lingering...

Thai Rice Exports at Risk Amid US Tariffs and India’s Market Return

Thailands rice industry is facing a double blow as U.S. President Donald Trumps tariff threats loom and India resumes rice exports, driving prices down. Daeng Donsingha, a 70-year-old Thai farmer, struggles to stay afloat...

South Korea Seeks Swift Resolution on U.S. Auto Tariffs Amid Export Decline

South Koreas Industry Minister Ahn Duk-geun announced that Seoul is pushing for a swift resolution to the 25% U.S. auto tariffs in upcoming trade talks in Washington. The high-level meeting comes after the U.S. implemented...

Politics

Kremlin Cites 'Nuances' in Ukraine Peace Talks as U.S. Mediation Wavers

The Kremlin stated Wednesday that peace talks over Ukraine still face significant challenges, with many nuances requiring resolution before any agreement can be reached. This follows the abrupt cancellation of U.S....

Peter Dutton Pledges Boost in Australia’s Defence Spending Ahead of Election

Australias opposition leader Peter Dutton has vowed to raise defence spending to 3% of GDP within a decade if elected, aiming to strengthen national security amid growing global tensions and pressure from the Trump...

Elon Musk Clarifies Role at DOGE as Tesla Faces Investor Concerns

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk clarified Tuesday that he is not stepping down from the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), but is merely reducing his time commitment. Responding to a post on X, Musk stated,...

Trump’s Approval Hits New Low Amid Public Backlash Over Power Moves

U.S. President Donald Trumps approval rating has dropped to 42%, the lowest since his return to the White House, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll. The decline reflects growing public concern over his efforts to...

Over 200 University Leaders Slam Trump Administration Over Political Interference

More than 200 presidents from U.S. colleges and universities, including Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia, have jointly denounced what they call unprecedented political interference by the Trump administration in higher...

Science

Kennedy Sets September Deadline to Uncover Autism Causes Amid Controversy

U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced a bold plan to identify the cause of autism by September 2025. Speaking at a cabinet meeting with President Donald Trump, Kennedy declared a global...

AstraZeneca’s Imfinzi Gets US Approval for Bladder Cancer Treatment

AstraZenecas drug Imfinzi (NASDAQ: AZN) has received U.S. approval to treat adult patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, a significant advancement in cancer therapy. The approval allows Imfinzi to be used in...

Sanofi’s New Hemophilia Drug Qfitlia Gains FDA Approval with Breakthrough Bimonthly Dosing

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved Qfitlia, a groundbreaking hemophilia treatment by French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi (NASDAQ: SNY). Designed for patients aged 12 and older with hemophilia A or B,...

FDA Vaccine Chief Peter Marks Resigns Amid Controversy Over Transparency

Peter Marks, the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations (FDA) top vaccine official, has resigned after reportedly being forced out by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), according to The Wall Street Journal....

Museums have tons of data, and AI could make it more accessible − but standardizing and organizing it across fields won’t be easy

Ice cores in freezers, dinosaurs on display, fish in jars, birds in boxes, human remains and ancient artifacts from long gone civilizations that few people ever see museum collections are filled with all this and more....

Technology

BMW to Integrate Chinese AI from DeepSeek in China-Made Vehicles

German automotive giant BMW (ETR:BMWG) announced it will begin integrating artificial intelligence (AI) developed by Chinese startup DeepSeek into its upcoming vehicle models in China starting later this year. The...

Tesla’s Optimus Robot Faces Delays Amid China’s Rare Earth Export Curbs

Tesla CEO Elon Musk revealed that production of the companys Optimus humanoid robot has been delayed due to Chinas new export restrictions on rare earth magnetscritical components in robotics and electric vehicles....

DOJ Targets Google’s AI-Driven Search Monopoly in Landmark Antitrust Trial

The U.S. Department of Justice has launched a historic antitrust case against Alphabets Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), aiming to prevent the tech giant from leveraging its artificial intelligence products to strengthen its...

Amazon Pauses Some AWS Data Center Leases Amid AI Demand Slowdown

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) has reportedly paused portions of its data center leasing negotiations for Amazon Web Services (AWS), signaling a potential slowdown in demand from major artificial intelligence (AI) clients,...

Nintendo Faces Tariff Hurdles Ahead of Switch 2 Launch

Nintendo is preparing to launch the highly anticipated Switch 2 on June 5, marking eight years since the original Switch debuted. The console, which sold over 150 million units globally, became a pandemic-era favorite....
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