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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Sep 24, 2018 05:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 30, 2017 07:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Hike probability sharply spiked after last FOMC meeting, where projection material showed that the U.S. Federal Reserve is still projecting one more hike for 2017, which is likely to be December. Before the meeting, the...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Oct 02, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probability spiked after FOMC decision

Sep 21, 2017 08:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Yesterday, in its monetary policy announcement Fed signaled another hike by the end of the year and initiated the balance sheet reduction beginning October. In light of that, lets take a look at the market pricing of...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Hike odds jump suggests market worrying over inflation

Sep 18, 2017 13:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Last week, the media focus was largely on UK inflation report, followed by Bank of Englands (BoE) rare guidance on rates and less attention was paid to the market pricing of hike bets. The financial markets pricing of hike...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back rate hike expectation beyond June next year

Sep 08, 2017 12:49 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This week, several key policymakers including Lael Brainard, Neel Kashkari, Robert Kaplan have warned against future rate hikes citing of lower inflation. Kashkari even went further to add that Fed rate hikes so far may...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Key commentaries from FOMC policymakers this week

Sep 08, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Several FOMC policymakers have remarked on the monetary policy throughout the week. Here is the compilation of the key remarks, Lael Brainard: As a member of the board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve she is...

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Economy

Peru’s Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 4.75% Amid Inflation Stabilization

Perus central bank kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 4.75% on Thursday, aligning with market expectations. The decision follows a gradual easing cycle since September 2023, when the rate peaked at 7.75%, making...

Wall Street Rebounds After S&P 500 Correction Amid Trade War Tensions

U.S. stock futures edged higher Thursday night after Wall Street saw the SP 500 slip into correction territory. SP 500 Futures rose 0.5% to 5,553.0 points, Nasdaq 100 Futures gained 0.6% to 19,359.50, and Dow Jones Futures...

Dollar Gains as Trade Tensions Rise, Euro Slides from Five-Month High

The U.S. dollar strengthened on Friday as escalating global trade tensions and economic slowdown fears weighed on markets. The euro slipped to $1.0847, retreating further from Tuesdays five-month peak, as a trade dispute...

Vietnam Reviews U.S. Import Tariffs Amid Trade Imbalance Concerns

Vietnam is reviewing import duties on U.S. goods, including liquefied natural gas (LNG), agricultural products, and high-tech exports, in an effort to balance trade relations with the United States. Prime Minister Pham...

Oil Prices Climb as U.S. Tightens Iran Sanctions, But Weekly Losses Loom

Oil prices edged higher in Asian trading on Friday after the U.S. imposed fresh sanctions on Iranian oil, but both Brent and WTI crude were set for weekly losses amid supply concerns. Brent crude futures for May delivery...

Politics

U.S. Wine Industry Faces Crisis Over Proposed 200% Tariffs on European Imports

The U.S. wine industry is bracing for a major blow as President Donald Trumps proposed 200% tariff on European alcoholic beverages threatens importers, distributors, and retailers. While Trump claims the tariffs will boost...

Russia Seeks to Exclude U.S. Envoy Kellogg from Ukraine Talks

Russian officials have requested that Keith Kellogg, the U.S. envoy for Russia-Ukraine negotiations, be excluded from high-level discussions on ending the war, according to a U.S. official and another informed source....

Schumer Backs GOP Stopgap Bill to Prevent Government Shutdown

U.S. Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer announced he would vote to advance a Republican-backed stopgap funding bill, signaling bipartisan efforts to prevent a government shutdown. The bill, passed by the GOP-led House,...

Putin Signals Conditional Support for U.S. Ceasefire Proposal in Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed support for a U.S.-proposed ceasefire in Ukraine but insisted on key conditions, raising doubts about an immediate resolution. The war, which began in February 2022, has caused...

Trump Revives Greenland Annexation Talk, Citing National Security

President Donald Trump reaffirmed his push for U.S. control of Greenland, telling NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte that the Arctic island is essential for international security. You know, Mark, we need that for...

Science

Leonardo da Vinci’s incredible studies of human anatomy still don’t get the recognition they deserve

Wikimedia, CC BY-SA The mere mention of Leonardo da Vinci evokes genius. We know him as a polymath whose interests spanned astronomy, geology, hydrology, engineering and physics. As a painter, his Mona Lisa and Last Supper...

One of the largest searches for alien life started 30 years ago. Its legacy lives on today

In February 1995, a small research organisation known as the SETI Institute launched what was then the most comprehensive search for an answer to a centuries-old question: are we alone in the universe? This Sunday marks...

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Technology

NASA and SpaceX Set to Launch Crew-10 Mission to ISS on March 14

NASA and SpaceX are gearing up for the highly anticipated Crew-10 mission, scheduled to launch on Friday, March 14, at 7:03 p.m. EDT (2303 GMT). The mission will carry four astronauts to the International Space Station...

Apple’s Encryption Clash with UK Sparks U.S. Investigation

British and U.S. officials have engaged in private talks over concerns that the UK is pressuring Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to weaken encryption protections, Bloomberg reported. The discussions follow Apples decision to remove...

India May Limit Starlink’s Satellite Spectrum to 5 Years, Defying Musk’s 20-Year Request

Indias telecom regulator, TRAI, is set to recommend a five-year allocation for satellite broadband spectrum, challenging Elon Musks Starlink, which sought a 20-year permit. This move aims to assess market adoption before...

WeRide Expands Robotaxi Services in Beijing After Securing Key Permit

WeRide Corp (NASDAQ: WRD) has received approval to launch commercial robotaxi services in Beijing, marking a significant milestone in its autonomous ride-hailing expansion. The newly granted permit allows WeRide to operate...

SpaceX Delays NASA Crew-10 Launch Amid Technical Issue, Stranded Astronauts Await Return

SpaceX postponed the NASA Crew-10 mission set to bring back astronauts stranded on the International Space Station (ISS), citing a technical issue. The launch, originally scheduled for Wednesday night from Kennedy Space...