Since World War II, the average length of time between recessions is 5 to 6 years. With the current cycle clocking in at 81, it's natural to wonder if the next downturn is imminent.
Global inflation has begun to reflect recessionary levels (around 1% Y/Y change).
Global trade has collapsed as reflected by the 80% drop over the last 18 months.
Declining trend over various asset classes (Bullion, crude and equity indices); compare the current levels with 2008 when last recession took place (see technical charts).
Recessionary trends are appearing in overall US imports/exports.
China's economy appears to be turning recessionary, recent currency devaluation has been the evidence so as to protect their economy.
In Germany, Europe's strongest economy, exports fell 5.2% in August from the previous month, growth momentum for been in the recessionary mode.
Japan already seems to have entered into the recessionary phase; industrial output disappoints projections (1.4% versus forecasts 1.9%).
It seems that the slow growth in snail's pace is only a momentary result of the 2008 financial crisis is absurd, this is no room for complacency.
The latest data suggest growth is slowing in the United States, and it is already slow in Europe and Japan. A global economy near stall speed is one where the primary danger is recession.


Goldman Sachs Flags 3 Key Risks Ahead of Europe’s Earnings Season
Gold Surges Past $4150 on Dovish Fed Signals and Weak Jobs Data; Bullish Outlook Prevails
Goldman Sachs Raises USD/JPY Forecast, Sees Yen Weakness Persist Through 2027
In a rebuke to Trump, the Supreme Court rules that birthright citizenship is the law of the land
Smartphones are helping filmmakers tell the stories the movie industry overlooks
AI can be a personal trainer in your pocket – but is it safe?
Trump has made more than $1 billion from crypto in a year. How?
State of emergency in Crimea as Ukraine focuses pressure on ‘jewel in Putin’s crown’
JPMorgan Cuts Gold Price Forecast, Sees Bullion Reaching $4,500 by End of 2026
USA at 250: the Black American struggle for life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness
Bank of America Upgrades T-Mobile to Buy, Says LEO Satellite Fears Are Overdone
Alcohol is one of the most dangerous drugs, yet its presence is ubiquitous in social settings and celebrations
Elon Musk is remaking the world, like Henry Ford before him – but more dangerously 



