Please have look on the risk reversal nutshell, perhaps OTC market arrangements may baffle sentiments of the spot FX trend directions. For contracts expiring in 1W-1M are displaying little upticks, however, losing momentum drags back the bearish sentiments in long run. As a result OTM puts of 6M-1Y year expiries are trading relatively expensive.
You can even observe over the OTC VIX for EURUSD to have traded second highest volumes in FX options among G7 currency segment when IVs are above 11% throughout the tenors.
Hence, comparing this difference between implied volatility, OTC market sentiments, technical reasoning and in options premiums we think the arbitraging opportunity is generated.
Technically, the pair has been breaking the important supports 1st at 1.1063, and now on verge of breaking 1.0869 levels with current price to slip below 21DMA and 7DMA curves. While leading oscillators converge downward to these price dips.
Box Spread ratio: (Call - 1:1; Put - 1:1)
Strictly on hedging grounds, particularly, the long box spread is advised as the spreads are emphasized in relation to their expiration values.
A Box options spread consists of buying the call and selling the put at the same lower strike price and buying the put and selling the call at the same higher strike all within the same instrument and expiry month.
How to execute:
Go long in 1M EURUSD (1%) in the money call, Short 1M EURUSD (1%) out of the money call.
Simultaneously, Go long in 3M EURUSD (1%) in the money put, Short 3M EURUSD (1%) out of the money put options. (shorter tenor on call side and long tenor on put side adjusting perplexed risk reversals).
Essentially, the arbitrager is simply buying and selling equivalent spreads and as long as the price paid for the box is significantly below the combined expiration value of the spreads, a riskless profit can be locked in immediately.


FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/CAD extends downtrend eyes 1.3550 level
FxWirePro: AUD/USD hovers near 3-year peak, scope for further upside
FxWirePro: NZD/USD loses momentum but outlook is bullish
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: EUR/ NZD falls below 1.9800, bears keep the advantage
FxWirePro: GBP/USD gaining momentum for a move towards of 1.3800 level
FxWirePro- Woodies Pivot(Major)
GBPJPY Bears Reload: 212 Ceiling Unyielding, Targets 208 & Below
GBPJPY Stuck in Bearish Box — Sell Rallies While 212 Caps the Upside
ETHUSD Breaks $3000 — Bulls Charge Toward $3500+ After BTC Lead
NZDJPY on Thin Ice: Sell the Rally as Bearish Setup Holds Below 93
Trump's "Great" Dollar Sends USD/CHF Crashing to 2011 Lows
FxWirePro: EUR/ NZD edges higher but bulls lack punch
FxWirePro- Major European Indices
FxWirePro: USD/JPY edged higher but the overall bearish outlook remains intact




