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FxWirePro: AUD/JPY fails to hold gains above 83 handle, momentum studies bearish, eyes 200-DMA at 81.93

  • Renewed bid-wave in the Aussie as markets continue to digest strong business confidence data out of Australia pushed AUD/JPY above 83 handle.
     
  • Data released earlier today showed Australia business conditions index jumped 5 points, to +14 index points, its highest level since the Global Financial Crisis.
     
  • Business confidence, however, fell 1 point, below the peaks of recent years to 6 points. 
     
  • AUD/JPY fails to hold gains, slips lower to currently trade at 82.92 levels.
     
  • Momentum studies bearish after the pair broke major trendline support at 83.75.
     
  • Pair on track to test 200-DMA at 81.93, bearish invalidation only on close above trendline support turned resistance at 83.75.
     
  • Support levels - 82.16 (38.2% Fib retrace of 72.43 to 88.17 rally), 81.93 (200-DMA), 81.11 (Nov 17&18 low)
     
  • Resistance levels - 83.36 (5-DMA), 83.75 (trendline), 84, 84.46 (23.6% Fib) 
     

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-JPY-breaks-major-trendline-support-at-8375-eyes-200-DMA-stay-short-625055) is progressing well. TP1 hit. 
 

Recommendation: Momentum remains bearish. Stay short for targets. 
 

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -71.6868 (Bearish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 140.124 (Bullish) at 0715 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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