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FxWirePro: AUD/USD capped below 5-DMA, on track to test trendline at 0.7535, stay short

AUD/USD slips lower from session highs at 0.7570 after weak China Caixin PMI data. China's Nov Caixin manufacturing PMI came in at 50.8 in November vs. 50.9 expected and 51.00 last. The pair is extending grind along down…

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FxWirePro: AUD/USD capped below 5-DMA, on track to test trendline at 0.7535, stay short
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  • AUD/USD slips lower from session highs at 0.7570 after weak China Caixin PMI data.
     
  • China's Nov Caixin manufacturing PMI came in at 50.8 in November vs. 50.9 expected and 51.00 last. 
     
  • The pair is extending grind along downward biased 5-DMA, eyes trendline at 0.7535.
     
  • Technical studies are bearish on intraday charts, RSI and Stochs have turned south. Weekly charts also support bearish bias.
     
  • However, bullish divergence on RSI and Stochs keeps scope for upside in the pair. Only violation at major support at 0.7535 there could see further weakness.
     
  • We see bearish invalidation on breakout at 20-DMA, scope then for test of 200-DMA at 0.7693.
     
  • Focus on US ISM manufacturing PMI reading and comment from Fed officials for further direction in the pair.

Support levels - 0.7535 (double bottom June 22 and Nov 17), 0.7528 (61.8% Fib retrace of 0.7160 to 0.81250 rally), 0.75

Resistance levels - 0.7578 (5-DMA), 0.7610 (20-DMA), 0.7691 (200-DMA)

Call update: Our previous call (https://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-USD-fails-at-20-DMA-slips-below-5-DMA-at-07609-good-to-short-rallies-1031440) is progressing well.

Recommendation: Bias lower, stay short.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -16.4134 (Neutral), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at 59.4147 (Neutral) at 0530 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex. 

FxWirePro launches Absolute Return Managed Program. For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/invest.
 

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