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FxWirePro: AUD/USD extends gains after RBA's neutral stance, upside likely limited, good to go short on rallies

  • Aussie volatile after the RBA kept interest rates unchanged and maintained its neutral stance. 
     
  • In the statement that followed, RBA remained upbeat on global growth and cautiously upbeat on China.
     
  • There was no change in the guidance on the currency, which suggests that the current level of the A$ is not an issue for the RBA. 
     
  • AUD/USD spiked to hit highs of 0.7625 before reversing gains to slip back to 0.7592.
     
  • The pair has now resumed upside and has regained the 0.76 handle and is currently trading at 0.7617.
     
  • Upside finds stiff resistance at 0.7640-45 region. Only break above will see bullishness.
     
  • Rising expectations of Fed tightening at March meeting and lowering of China growth targets are likely to keep upside limited.

Support levels - 0.7607 (5-DMA), 0.7543 (Mar 3 low), 0.7528 (200-DMA)

Resistance levels - 0.7640 (trendline), 0.7656 (20-DMA), 0.77, 0.7740 (Feb 23 high)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bullish                Overbought       
4H          Bullish                Neutral       
1D          Neutral                Neutral        
1W         Neutral                Neutral      

Recommendation: Good to go short on rallies around 0.7640/55, SL: 0.7740, TP: 0.76/ 0.7545/ 0.7530/ 0.75/ 0.7450

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 68.6472(Slightly bullish), while Hourly USD Spot Index was at -17.0513 (Neutral) at 0450 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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