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FxWirePro: AUD/USD fails at 200-DMA, break below trendline support at 0.7635 to see further weakness

  • AUD/USD extends choppy trade into 3rd consecutive week. Bias neutral.
     
  • The pair has failed to break above 200-DMA which is major resistance at 0.7697.
     
  • Bullish divergence keeps scope for upside. Breakout above 200-DMA could see resumption of upside.
     
  • The pair finds strong trendline support at 0.7635, break below to see weakness.
     
  • Next major support below 0.7635 lies at 0.75, while above 200-DMA next major resistance aligns at 0.7719 (20-DMA).
     
  • Focus this week shall be on US CPI, retail sales and industrial production, which could provide further direction.
     
  • Also several speeches by FOMC members, including Janet Yellen, who is due to speak on Tuesday will be watched for clues.

Support levels - 0.7635 (trendline), 0.7625 (Oct 27 low), 0.7571 (July 5 low), 0.75 (78.6% Fib retrace of 0.7328 to 0.8125 rally)

Resistance levels - 0.7662 (5-DMA), 0.7697 (200-DMA), 0.7726 (50% Fib retrace of 0.7328 to 0.8125 rally), 0.7729 (20-DMA)

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