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FxWirePro- BTCUSD Daily Outlook

BTCUSD trades slightly weak ahead of US CPI. It hit a high of  $58070 and is currently trading at around $56533.

 

Economists predict the U CPI to decline to 2.6% y/y, and core CPI to remain steady at 3.2 y/y.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 67% from 56% a week ago.

 

US markets -

 

 NASDAQ (No correlation with BTC) - Bearish  (neutral for BTC). The NASDAQ trades flat ahead of the US CPI. Any close below 18000 will take the index to 17400.

 

 Technicals-

 

BTCUSD trades above the short-term moving average 34- EMA and 55 EMA and below the long-term moving average (200 EMA) in the 4-hour chart.

 

In the daily chart, BTC holds below the short and long-term moving averages. This confirms a minor weakness.

 

Minor support- $55000.  Any break below will take it to the next level at $52500/$50000/$46000.

 

 Bull case-

 

Primary supply zone -$58975.  Any break above confirms an intraday bullishness. A jump to $60000/$61800/$63000/$65000/$67000/$70000 is possible.      

 

  Secondary barrier- $70000. A close above that barrier targets $750000/$80000.

 

Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

CCI (14)- Neutral

 

CCI (50)- Bullish

 

Average directional movement Index - Neutral

 

 It is good to buy on dips around $55000 with SL around $52000 for TP of $67000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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