UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2048.36
Kijun-Sen- $2059.61
Gold lost its shine after less dovish FOMC minutes. It hit a low of $2030.69 and is currently trading around $2047. Minutes from FOMC's December meeting show that rates as likely at or near its peak and a further policy action depends on economic development. The meeting minutes did not give any clue about the timing of the rate cut.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Jan increased to 91.20% from 81.40% a week ago.
Economic calendar -
Jan 4th, 2024, US ADP Employment (1:15 pm GMT)
US initial jobless claims FOMC meeting minutes (7:00 pm GMT)
US dollar index- Bullish. Minor support around 100.70/100. The near-term resistance is 103/104.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bullish (negative for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2030, a break below targets of $2020/ $2000/$1970. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2050 and a breach above will take it to the next level of$2060/$2070/ $2090/$2100/$2150.
It is good to buy on dips around $2020 with SL around $2000 for TP of $2150
Silver-
Silver was one of the worst performers this week and lost more than 3.5% on board-based US dollar buying. The US ISM manufacturing PMI showed a minor uptick at 47.4 in Dec, below the forecast of 47. The precious metal is trading below 21 and 55-day EMA Any close below $23 confirms further bearishness. A dip to $22.50/$21.88. It is facing significant resistance at $23.25. Any breach above $23.25 confirms minor bullishness, a jump to $23.60/$24.10/$24.60/$25/$26.
Crude oil-
WTI crude oil prices recovered sharply on Middle East supply issues. Markets eye EIA crude oil inventories.
Major resistance- $75.35/80. Significant support- $72/$70.
