The UK Secretary of State for Business said leaving the EU could cost British businesses £34.4 billion.
UK rates: UK bonds stopped to rally last night after the last poll gave a lead to the "Remain" camp but are still trading at the lows of the year at 1.28%.
As a result, the FX option activities of GBP crosses have intensified, ATM GBPUSD IVs of 1m tenor have spiked above 22% with rising negative hedging sentiments. While euro’s gains against sterling are suggested by positive risk reversals.
The volatilities are still extremely bid in GBP with uncertainties still high surrounding the vote. The 1M continues to reach new highs at 22.2%.
25-delta risk reversals evidence the difference in volatility, and therefore price, between puts and calls on the most liquid out-of-the-money (OTM) options quoted on the OTC market.
The 3m is getting close again to the year high at 16. It is currently trading at 15.2, coming from a low of 12.5 a week ago.
The GBP managed to bounce from its strong support at the 100-day moving average to trade back in the middle of the range following yet another tight poll.


US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift?
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch




