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FxWirePro- EURUSD Daily Outlook

Ichimoku analysis (4-hour chart)

 

 Tenken-Sen- 1.10766

 

 Kijun-Sen- 1.10837

 

EURUSD showed a minor pullback after a less hawkish rate hike by Fed.  It hits an intraday low of  1.11338 and is currently trading around 1.11300.

 

US Fed hiked rates by 25 bpbs to 5.5% as expected. The central bank said that the economy is expanding at a moderate pace. Jobs gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated. The statement is like a carbon copy of June's with minor changes.

 

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Sep increased to 78% from 0% a day ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield pared some of its gains after a less hawkish rate hike by the Fed. The  US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -97% from -110%.

 

The pair trades above short-term 21 EMA,  55 EMA, and long-term (200-EMA) in the 4-hour chart.  Any indicative break above 1.11500 confirms intraday bullishness; a jump to 1.1180/1.1250/1.1300  is possible. The near-term support is around 1.1080. The breach below targets 1.1050/1.1000.

 

   Indicator (4-hour chart)

 

   CCI – Bearish

 

  Directional movement index – Neutral

 

It is good to buy on dips around 1.10850 with SL around 1.1020 for a TP of 1.1200.

 

 

 

 

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