European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
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Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
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China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
The US dollar index recovered after strong inflation data. It hit a low of 105.41 and is currently trading around 105.98.
US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) rose to 2.7% YoY compared to a forecast of 2.6%. The US economy has slowed to 1.6% at an annual rate well below the forecast of 2.5%. The number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits fell by 5000 to 20700 in the week ended Apr 20th vs. Estimate of 214000.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in June increased to 88.40% from 88.9% a week ago.
Major resistance- 106.50/107
Major support- 105.35/104.45
Economic data for the day
Apr 30th, 2024, Chicago PMI (1:45 pm GMT)
US CB consumer confidence (2 pm GMT)
May 1st, 2024, ADP employment change (12:15 pm GMT)
US ISM manufacturing PMI (1:45 pm GMT)
Federal funds rate (6:00 pm GMT)
May 2nd, 2024, US Initial jobless claims (12:30 pm GMT)
May 3rd, 2024, US Non-farm payroll (12:30 pm GMT)
EURUSD-
EURUSD holds above the 1.0720 level after strong US inflation. Markets await German CPI data for further direction.
Major Eurozone Economic data this week
Apr 29th, 2024,German Prelim CPI m/m
Apr 30th, 2024, Core CPI Flash estimate y/y
Major resistance-1.0760,1.0800
Major support- 1.0660,1.0600
Yen-
The pair pared most of its gains on Japanese FX intervention. Any break below 154.95 confirms major bullishness.
Major Resistance- 161,163
Major support- 154.50,153.50
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar remained strong despite weak crude oil prices. Any break below 1.3600 confirms further bearishness.
Resistance- 1.3660,1.3750
Major support- 1.3600,1.3535
