The hammer formation at the bottom of downtrend at around 165.927 on daily chart, has shown its relieving effects for interim bulls to reach out upto the highs of 175.011 as anticipated. But that is where it has now rejected the resistance exactly at upper Bollinger band to evidence more slumps.
To substantiate this bearish view, daily leading oscillators began diverging to the previous rallies. Slow stochastics has shown a bearish crossover above overbought territory, while RSI (14) has taken U turn to signify the selling momentum.
On monthly charts, for long term investors in this pair undoubtedly we continue to foresee further bearish travel from here onwards with some minor abrupt rallies.
When traced out hanging man formation at peaks, it has already dropped to 163.98 thereby, it has reached our previous 1st target at 165 and is close to 2ndtargets at 163.500 in the recent past, rest is history by now.
During this bearish travel, with all leading as well lagging indicators to converge these price slumps on monthly chart we position our bearish stance in sync with market sentiments.
Long term trend has been extremely conducive for bears as we listed out series of red flags that signifies serious weakness in this pair, most importantly, spiking volumes with dipping price.
Huge volumes conformity to the steep slumps has been booster for this bearish trend, what else do we need more than this? rising volumes with consistent falling price would reveal what is cooking in this pair.
In between, short term bulls can also be favored with these short term rallies but keep mind that any point of time it may reverse its bearish strength and resume bearish business.
Well, we've been urging for shorts utilizing momentary upswings in this pair from last 4 months, it has responded pretty much as desired for the downward targets and still with more potential.
No harm for bears with medium term trade setups as lagging indicators are pretty much the same as leading indicators, MACD and 21DMA has still been a sell both on weekly and monthly graphs. The prices have slid below 21DMA just a month ago on monthly chart that has created more room for ongoing bearish trend.
Thereby, for now an we still maintain the targets at 170.309 and even retesting of 165.50 levels are pretty much on the table upon holding the above stated resistance levels.


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