GBP/JPY pared some of its gains made yesterday due to weak pound sterling. It hit a low of 198.38 yesterday and is currently trading around 197.56. The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) is identified at 200.20, and the pair has gained over 800 pips the previous month.
Last week, the UK released economic data showing signs of weakness. GDP growth for the second quarter was revised down to 0.5%, indicating a slower recovery. Industrial production and manufacturing output both fell, suggesting struggles in these key sectors. Consumer confidence remains low, reflecting concerns about the economy. Although retail sales unexpectedly rose by 0.3%, the overall economic outlook appears uncertain, especially with ongoing investment concerns and a trade deficit.
Technical Overview:
The GBP/JPY is below short-term and long-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. Immediate resistance is at 198; if broken, it could rise toward 198.40/198.75/199.75/200.20. Support is at 197, with potential drops to 196.50/ 195.40 if this level fails.
Indicator Analysis:
- CCI - bearish and ADX - neutral. Both show mixed trend.
Trading Recommendation: Consider selling if the price approaches 198.75-80, with a stop loss around 200.20 and aiming for a profit target of 196.


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