Gold surged sharply after the Fed’s Chairman's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. It hit a high of $2521.86 and is currently trading around $2520.
Market eyes on US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data on Friday for further direction.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 50 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 38.50% from 24% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 100.60/100. The near-term resistance is 102.50/103.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (positive for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2495 (34 -4H EMA), a break below the target of $2485(55 -4H EMA)/$2470/$2430/$2400. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2525 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2535/$2554.
Indicator (4-hour chart)
CCI (14)- Bullish
CCI (50)- Bullish
Average directional movement Index - Neutral. So good to go to buy on dips.
It is good to buy on dips around $2490-92 with an SL of around $2470 for a TP of $2525/$2550.


U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 



