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FxWirePro: NZD/USD fails to hold break above 5-DMA, good to short break below 0.6865

  • NZD/USD fails to hold break above 5-DMA, extends downside for a 2nd straight session.
     
  • The pair is trading 0.41% lower on the day a 0.6867 at the time of writing.
     
  • Bulls have failed to extend momentum higher, the pair is testing major trendline support at 0.6865.
     
  • Break below will see further weakness. Scope then for test of 0.6780 levels.
     
  • We expect some weakness ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) next policy meet (due Wed).
     
  • The RBNZ is expected to keep cash rate steady at 1.75% with little change in the policy statements.
     
  • Majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect the central bank to remain unchanged on rates well into Q4 2019.
     
  • On the flipside, 21-EMA at 0.6942 is major resistance. Breakout above could see bearish invalidation.

Support levels - 0.6860 (major trendline support), 0.6851 (May 16 low), 0.6780 (Nov 17 2017 low)

Resistance levels - 0.6880 (5-DMA), 0.69, 0.6942 (21-EMA), 0.70

Call update: Our previous call (https://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-NZD-USD-Trade-Idea-1375873) has hit all targets.

Recommendation: Good to go short on break below 0.6860, SL: 0.69, TP: 0.68/ 0.6780
 

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