2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data 
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
Macro investors remain concerned about the reversal of the “easy money” that flowed to EM markets during QE. How could worse outflows be for EMs? Well, as per a recent report it is investigated the relationship and quantify the market impact of heavy EM outflows for the extreme bear case. It is found out that the beta of returns to flows is unstable; positive returns tend to accompany fund outflows on a surprisingly frequent basis.
Among Emerging Asian baskets, stay long an equally-weighted basket of INR, IDR, KRW against an equally-weighted. basket of SGD and JPY, indexed at 100 on November 16, 2017, with a total return target of 110 and stop at 95, currently trading at 97 levels. The Korean won remains an outperformer and continues to trend higher in NEER terms. This appears a little out of line with the softness in global growth momentum, although to be sure this has mostly been concentrated in Europe to date. BoK commentary has also been more balanced in recent months and we seem some distance from the above trend pace of growth/more hawkish central bank rhetoric from mid 2017.
We remain mildly constructive BRL for year-end but mark-to-market forecasts to 3.60 for year-end and continue to assume a market-friendly candidate winning the election despite the lower odds. Stay long a volatility-weighted basket of BRL, CLP, PEN (weights of 0.25, 0.25, 0.5)7 . against USD, indexed at 100 on November 16, 2017, with a total return target of 108 and stop at 96, currently trading at 96.87.
While Norweign Krona has been relatively range-bound. Intra-month moves were larger but driven by exogenous rather than Norwayspecific factors such as changes in risk sentiment in response to softer global growth and developments in the Italian politics. Stay short EURNOK, activated in earlier March 2018 at an entry level of 9.67, with a target of 9.20 and a revised stop at 9.67, currently trading at 9.46.
Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's hourly USD spot index is inching towards 70 levels (which is bullish) while articulating at (10:21 GMT). For more details on the index, please refer below weblink:
http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
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