- USD/JPY bears remain in control, the pair is trading in a narrow range as we enter the week.
- We saw an intraday high of 106.36 and a low of 106.06 in the Asian session today.
- The dollar found some traction on Monday following last week's steep fall and managed to hold above the 106 handle.
- Inflation worries and concerns about the U.S. fiscal and trade deficits will keep the dollar on the defensive.
- Technical indicators are still bearish, we do not see any major signs of reversal.
- 1H 55-EMA at 106.42 offers stiff resistance, break above could see minor upside till 1H 110-EMA at 106.94.
- We see minor bullishness in the near-term only on decisive break above 5-DMA at 106.70.
- Resumption of weakness will see test of major trendline support at 104.85.
Support levels - 106.21 (1H 21-EMA), 106, 105.55 (Feb 16 low)
Resistance levels - 106.41 (1H 55-EMA), 106.70 (5-DMA), 106.94 (1H 110-EMA)
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