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FxWirePro: USD/TRY rallies to 1-1/2 year peak as CBRT slashes rates, likely to break above 6.5000

  • The Turkish Lira plunged to a fresh 1-1/2 year low following the central bank's emergency meeting. 
     
  • The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey lowered its one-week repo auction rate by 100bps to 9.75 percent, two days ahead of a scheduled meeting, with policymakers raising concerns about the coronavirus outbreak.
     
  • USD/TRY is trading 1.01 percent up at 6.4887, having hit a high of 6.4895 earlier, its highest since September 2018. 
     
  • Momentum indicators are bullish - RSI strong at 82, MACD supports upside and Stochs are at overbought levels. 
     
  • Immediate resistance is located at 6.5048, any close above could take it above 6.5396.
     
  • On the downside, support is seen at 6.3806 (23.6% Fib) and break below could take it near 6.3231 (38.2% Fib).
     

Recommendation: Good to buy on dips around 6.4291, with stop loss of 6.3997 and target price of 6.5048. 

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