The disappointment continues from OPEC member states to reach any consensus initially.
The fact that members were unable to set any production limit means that a continued high level of production is likely, which will leave the market oversupplied.
The US EIA's short-term energy outlook confirmed that oil production seems robust at the current edge, (growing production in the Gulf of Mexico factors in), and therefore raised its production estimate for the current year again slightly.
Brent costed less than $40 per barrel again yesterday for the first time since February 2009 but recovered up to 40.46, WTI has been lingering with bearish favorite figure at 37.5 ahead of inventory data.
Hedging Frameworks:
On hedging grounds, aggressive bulls can initiate long positions in naked puts but avoiding at the money puts would derive smarter approach.
But use of in the money -0.51 delta puts are advisable expecting deeper tunnel around 35 levels.
Rare opportunity:
The premiums of ATM contracts are priced in more than 7.56% of NPV while delta is just -0.48.
The premiums of (1%) ITM contracts are priced in more than 6.34% of NPV while delta is -0.54.
Thus, we reckon ITM options are in the competitive advantage of pricing as well as underlying effects on options.
This difference in delta is conducive to monitor downward directional risk which is intensifying amid crude supply glut, so you may know how much your option's value will increase or diminish as the underlying movement in crude oil market.


FxWirePro: GBP/USD eases slightly as Iran deal proves elusive
Bitcoin Cracks $75K as $1.3B ETF Exodus and Middle East Jitters Spook Bulls; Bears Eye $70K
AUD/JPY: Triple EMA “Buy-the-Dip” Setup Targets 115 With Layered Support Intact
NZD/JPY: Triple EMA “Sell-the-Rally” Setup Targets 90 as Bearish ADX Strength Doubles
FxWirePro: USD/CNY edges higher as market sentiment turns cautious
FxWirePro: USD/JPY eases slightly but trend is still bullish
GBPJPY Coils in Tight Range Above Bullish EMA Stack; Dip Buyers Target 216–217 Breakout
Ether Breaks Below $2,100: Triple EMA “Sell-the-Rally” Setup Targets $1,900
FxWirePro- Woodies pivot (Major)
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: USD/JPY edges higher as traders monitor Middle East developments
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD neutral in the near-term, scope for downward resumption
FxWirePro: NZD/USD slips ahead of RBNZ policy decision
AUDJPY Pares Gains as Soft Australian CPI Cools Rally; Bulls Circle Key Dip-Buying Zone at 113.40
GBP/JPY Breakout Blitz: Triple EMA “Buy-the-Dip” Setup Eyes 216–217 as Yen Momentum Crumbles
FxWirePro: USD/CAD remains buoyant, upside pressure builds




