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"GBP/JPY Update: Navigating Key Levels Amid Weak Yen and Retail Sales Anticipation"

The GBP/JPY currency pair established a double bottom around 193.80 and has since experienced a minor pullback, driven by the weakness of the yen. After reaching a high of 195.59 yesterday, it is now trading near 195.10.

Recent price movements indicate that GBP/JPY is struggling to maintain momentum above 195.95, with an intraday bias remaining neutral at this stage. Market participants are now closely watching upcoming UK retail sales data for potential directional cues.

Technical Overview:

Currently, the pair is positioned above the short-term 34 EMA, as well as the 55 EMA (194.76 and 194.44) and the long-term 365 Hull MA (194.11) on the 4-hour chart.

Near-term resistance is located at around 195.60, and a breakthrough here could signal bullish intraday sentiment. A climb to 196 is feasible, and if the price surpasses 196, it could indicate a renewed uptrend from a low of 180.00. Further targets could include 197.37 (161.8% Fibonacci level), 198, and even 200. On the downside, immediate support lies at 194.70, and a dip below this level could push the pair down towards 194, 193.50, 192.88, or 192.50.

Indicator Analysis (4-hour chart):

  1. CCI (50): Bullish
  2. ADX: Neutral. All indicators affirm a neutral trend overall.

A buying opportunity appears viable above 196, with a stop-loss around 195 and a take-profit target set for 198.

 

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