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Gold Hits Three-Month High as Treasury Moves Fuel Rally

Gold Hits Three-Month High as Treasury Moves Fuel Rally. Source: Photo by Pixabay

Gold prices extended their strong rally on Tuesday, reaching a three-month high as investors weighed U.S. Treasury intervention in the bond market alongside escalating trade and geopolitical tensions.

Spot gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.8% to $4,688.96 an ounce at 20:59 ET (00:59 GMT), while gold futures gained 1% to $4,746.09. Silver rose 0.8% to $69.51 an ounce, and platinum advanced 0.5% to $1,889.32. The U.S. Dollar Index remained largely unchanged at 98.98.

Gold has surged more than 7% over the past four sessions, extending last week's gains and moving comfortably above $4,600. The rally accelerated after the U.S. Treasury unexpectedly increased buybacks of longer-dated government debt last week.

The move pressured Treasury yields and weakened the dollar, increasing gold's appeal to international buyers. It also fueled concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and whether government efforts to control borrowing costs could undermine confidence in the dollar.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has indicated that longer-term debt buybacks could be expanded, although he provided no new details on Monday. The administration is also preparing a fiscal initiative aimed at addressing elevated government borrowing costs.

These developments have revived the so-called debasement trade, which contributed to gold's roughly 65% gain in 2025. Investors increasingly view bullion as a hedge against fiscal expansion and potential erosion in the dollar's purchasing power.

Safe-haven demand has also strengthened amid geopolitical and trade uncertainty. Washington has threatened sanctions against countries maintaining economic ties with Iran, while U.S.-Canada trade tensions have intensified following failed negotiations and new tariff threats.

Gold's technical outlook has improved as well. The metal has broken above trendline resistance near $4,420 and its 200-day moving average around $4,515.

IG senior market analyst Tony Sycamore said gold likely established a bottom near its late-June low of $3,942. He expects price declines to attract buyers, with the next major resistance area seen between $4,900 and $5,000.

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