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Kiwi falls despite positive retail sales data, likely to fall further

  • Pair is currently trading at $0.6610 levels.
     
  • It made intraday high at $0.6675 and low at $0.6604 levels.
     
  • Sales volumes rose 1.2% quarter-on-quarter in the October-December period, according to Statistics New Zealand data released Tuesday.
     
  • Core retail sales - which excludes the volatile automotive industry - was up 1.4% in the final quarter.
     
  • Inflation expectations slipped to 22 year low as business managers expect inflation in New Zealand of 1.63% annually over the next two years, according to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's quarterly inflation expectations survey.
     
  • Intraday bias remains bearish till the time pair holds resistance at $0.6750 levels.
     
  • A daily close above $0.6750 will turn the bias bullish again.
     
  • On the other side, a break of $0.6600 will take the pair toward key support level at $0.6418 and $0.6347 thereafter.

We prefer to take short position in NZD/USD around $0.6600, stop loss $0.6750 and target $0.6347 levels.

 

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