Janet Yellen is presenting the FED's biannual testimony before congress today. This is a two day event, though the first day is usually the major market movers.
Key points in the testimony -
- FED recognizes the current strength in the labor market through the rise in the NFP headline figure and fall in long term unemployed.
- Nevertheless it believes that further improvement is required in the wage growth and participation rate.
- FED recognizes the strength in GDP growth but expects such rate of growth (3.75% in second half of 2014) to be unsustainable at this stage but expect it to be strong enough.
- FED has shrugged off fear over falling inflation and falling inflation expectation. According to FED they remain subdued due to monetary policy easing abroad & lower oil price.
- FED will prefer conventional measures & tighten through interest rates not the balance sheet management.
- FED would change forward guidance before any rate hike & absence of the patience word would mean policy change at any meeting though not an assured condition.
Analogy & Reaction -
- Federal Reserve is going to hike rates and sounds like June this year.
- The pace of the rise will be gradual and will remain below the longer run average.
- Market remained unmoved after the comments. Euro is trading at 1.133, Yen at 119 & pound at 1.545.
- Stock market is also stable. S&P 500 is trading at 2114, up 0.23% for the day.


SpaceX Stock Gets $175 Target as Analysts See Massive Growth Ahead
AI Memory Boom Sparks Global Chip Supply Crunch
J.P. Morgan Sees Potential Vestas Guidance Upgrade Amid Strong Wind Energy Demand
How AI prompting turned writerly description into an everyday skill
China’s AI Manufacturing Boom Masks Weak Consumer Economy, Citi Says
Today’s space race could turn fatal if we don’t agree on new rules
Goldman Sachs: US Dollar Likely to Stay Strong Despite Oil Price Retreat
Gold's 365-Day EMA Streak Since Oct 2023 Faces Its First Real Test at $3,980 — Break or Bounce to $4,140? 



