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Oil in Global Economy Series: OPEC July deal compliance review

Since November 2016, when OPEC members agreed to cut production for the first time since the Great Recession, to the tune of 1.76 million barrels per day, it became a cornerstone for the oil market and one the key factors for the recent bullish oil market.

The recent downside correction also suggests the same. The latest decline in oil price was triggered by President Trump’s pressure on Saudi Arabia to produce more.

WTI is currently trading at $68 per barrel and Brent at $5.5 per barrel premium to WTI.

 

Target as per OPEC deal
 (million barrel per day)

July production
 (million barrel per day)

 

 

 

June production
 (million barrel per day)

Algeria

1.039

1.062

 

 

 

1.039

Angola

1.673

1.456

 

 

 

1.431

Ecuador

0.522

0.525

 

 

 

0.519

Gabon

0.193

0.188

 

 

 

0.190

Iran

3.797

3.737

 

 

 

3.799

Iraq

4.351

4.556

 

 

 

4.533

Kuwait

2.707

2.791

 

 

 

2.731

Qatar

0.618

0.616

 

 

 

0.603

Saudi Arabia

10.058

10.387

 

 

 

10.42

UAE

2.874

2.959

 

 

 

2.897

Venezuela

1.972

1.278

 

 

 

1.34

total

29.804

29.555

 

 

 

29.502

 

  • According to data from secondary resources, the OPEC still remains more than compliant with the agreement on an average production basis. However, the production has increased substantially since June.
  • Venezuela saw another sharp drop in production to 1.278 million barrels per day.
  • Libya and Nigeria produced 0.664 and 1.67 million barrels per day in July, respectively.
  • Total 15-member OPEC production was at 32.323 million barrels per day in July, up 41,000 barrels from June.
  • Market Data
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