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Solar Outlook Dims: Trade Tensions Loom, Increasing Appeal of Safe Haven and Silver

Market Overview: Silver Struggles Amid Strong Dollar Silver trades weak on a strong US dollar, reaching a high of $32.16 but currently resting around 31.27. Short-term trends remain positive as long as support at 30 holds.

Impact of Winter on the Solar Industry: Challenges Ahead The slowdown in the solar industry during winter happens for several reasons. Shorter days mean less sunlight for solar panels, potentially reducing energy production by 25-50%. Snow can cover panels, blocking sunlight, and cold temperatures, while improving efficiency, are overshadowed by less sunlight. Additionally, fewer new solar installations occur due to harsh weather, and maintenance is difficult with snow and ice. Bad winter conditions can also disrupt supply chains and delay projects.

Political Climate: Trade Tensions and Silver Prices Trump's return to office is likely to heighten trade tensions, especially with China. Analysts suggest this could initially lower silver prices as investors might favor stocks. However, if geopolitical tensions escalate, there could be a shift back to safe-haven assets like silver.

Gold-Silver Ratio: Indicators for Investors The gold-silver ratio is currently at 85.15, showing that gold has outperformed silver recently. A ratio above 80 suggests silver might become a more attractive investment compared to gold.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch For trading, the major level to monitor is 30. Silver is below key moving averages, with near-term support at $30.80. If it falls below this, it could target $30/$29.60. On the upside, immediate resistance is at $31.75; breaking this could lead to targets of $32.20, $32.75, $33, $33.60, $34, $34.50, and even $34.73.

Trading Strategy: Opportunities in Current Market It may be a good strategy to sell on rallies around 31.50−31.50−31.55, with a stop-loss at $32.20 and a target price of $29.65.

 

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