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South Africa's growth outlook remains lacklustre, USD/ZAR likely to edge higher

  • Output and new orders in South Africa's private sector declined at their sharpest rates in nearly a year as the economy weakened and demand subsided, a survey showed on Friday.

  • "The growth outlook for South Africa remains lacklustre as a combination of declining order intakes and falling purchasing activity suggests that the sector is likely to remain stuck in reverse gear," said Oliver Kolodseike, an economist at Markit.

  • Companies surveyed reported a decline in output for the first time this year. South Africa is battling its most serious power supply shortages since 2008 and state-owned power utility Eskom implements frequent rolling power cuts to avoid overwhelming the grid.

  • USD/ZAR techs positively aligned, highlighting the overall upside potential. There is scope is for an eventual break above the tenkan line at 12.3575. A daily close below the 12.2325 level will reverse trend. 
Resistance Levels:

R1:  12.3575 (July 2 high)   

R2: 12.4100 (June 29 high)  
 
R3: 12.4500 (June 17 high)    

Support Levels:

S1: 12.1470 (July 1 low)    

S2: 12.1180 (June 30 low)   

S3: 12.0385 (100-DMA)                                                           

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