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Swiss trade surplus to decline this year and net exports to be a small drag on GDP

Sharp CHF appreciation likely resulted in losses for exporting firms that believed the floor would be maintained and thus kept their FX positions un-hedged. On a tradeweighted basis, the CHF has appreciated 10% since the…

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Sharp CHF appreciation likely resulted in losses for exporting firms that believed the floor would be maintained and thus kept their FX positions un-hedged. 

On a tradeweighted basis, the CHF has appreciated 10% since the EUR-CHF floor was removed. 

Standard Chartered notes...

  • We expect increased imports and lower exports to reduce the trade surplus, and net exports to be a small drag on GDP this year. 

  • Fewer tourist arrivals (with tourists preferring cheaper destinations) will also weigh on the Swiss economy.

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