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FxWirePro: Vols forecasting in 2019 - Long-end USD/JPY vols appear cheaper for strategic vega longs

Dec 24, 2018 06:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

As widely anticipated, the Fed hiking cycle continued once more this year as FOMC raised rates by 25 bps (Feds Funds rate 2.50%). At the same juncture, the Feds dot plot moved lower over the forecast horizon. These...

The Fed cares when the stock market freaks out – but only when it turns into a bear

Dec 21, 2018 11:12 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

Stocks have been falling for more than two months, with investors all but begging the Federal Reserve to stop lifting short-term interest rates. Higher rates hurt stocks by making other, less risky investments look more...

Bank of England keeps Bank Rate unchanged at 0.75 pct

Dec 20, 2018 14:14 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of England kept the Bank rate on hold today at 0.75 percent. The BoE voted unanimously to maintain the Bank Rate and the stock of bonds unchanged during the meeting today. According to BoE, the downside rise to...

Riksbank hikes key interest rate by 25 bps, likely to hike next in December 2019

Dec 20, 2018 13:21 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Swedish central bank hiked its key interest rate today. The Riksbank raised the interest rate by 25 basis points to -0.25 percent, the first tightening move since July 2011. The government bond reinvestment plan is...

FxWirePro: Risks that Sterling’s options market factors-in through 2019

Dec 20, 2018 12:57 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Bank of England has left its monetary policy unchanged today (bank rate at 0.75%). Even though the rate of inflation eased slightly in November rising wages suggest that underlying inflation pressure is increasing....

Bank of Thailand likely hike key interest rate to 2 pct in 2019

Dec 20, 2018 12:35 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Thailand hiked its key interest rate yesterday by 25 basis points to 1.75 percent. This is its first hike since 2011. Todays decision shows the policymakers desire to minimise the risk of financial instability...

FxWirePro: Stay short EURGBP though a ratio put spread ahead of BoE and Brexit

Dec 20, 2018 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Bank of England will leave its monetary policy unchanged today. What else could it do? Even though the rate of inflation eased slightly in November rising wages suggest that underlying inflation pressure is...

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Economy

100+ Global Companies Push Governments to Prioritize Electrification for Economic Growth

More than 100 major global companies, including Nestlé, Uber, IKEA, Volvo Cars, Iberdrola, Levi Strauss, Nikon Corporation, and Mahindra Group, are urging governments to place electrification at the heart of their...

Dollar Holds Firm as U.S.-Iran Talks Ease Tensions, GBP/USD Slips Amid UK Political Uncertainty

The U.S. dollar remained largely stable on Monday after the first round of diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran concluded with signs of progress, although lingering geopolitical risks continued to keep...

China Keeps Loan Prime Rates Unchanged for 13th Straight Month as Policymakers Prioritize Credit Demand Recovery

Chinas central bank left its benchmark lending rates unchanged in June, marking the 13th consecutive month without an adjustment and reinforcing expectations that policymakers are not rushing to introduce additional...

US Stock Futures Recover as Iran Signals Progress in Peace Talks

U.S. stock index futures pared earlier losses on Sunday night after Iran reported progress in ongoing peace negotiations held in Switzerland, easing investor concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle...

Gold Price Rises as Investors Weigh U.S.-Iran Talks and Fed Policy Outlook

Gold prices moved higher on Monday as investors closely followed developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations and evaluated the future direction of U.S. monetary policy after the Federal Reserves recent hawkish stance. Spot gold...

Politics

US Military Strike on Suspected Drug Trafficking Vessel Leaves Two Dead in Caribbean

The U.S. military has confirmed that it carried out a strike on a vessel in the Caribbean Sea, resulting in the deaths of two individuals whom officials described as male narco-terrorists. The operation, announced by U.S....

Taiwan Launches Five-Day Combat Readiness Drill Amid Rising China Military Activity

Taiwans military will begin a five-day combat readiness exercise this week as part of its broader military modernization strategy aimed at improving war preparedness and strengthening defense capabilities against growing...

Pedro Sanchez’s Wife Ordered to Stand Trial in Spain Corruption Case

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchezs wife, Begoña Gomez, has been ordered to stand trial on corruption-related charges and has been barred from leaving Spain, according to a ruling issued by Judge Juan Carlos...

Moscow Downs Dozens of Ukrainian Drones as Airports Halt Flights Amid Escalating Attacks

Russias capital, Moscow, came under a major drone attack early Monday, with air defense systems intercepting nearly 60 Ukrainian drones heading toward the city, according to Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The incident briefly...

China Adds MP Materials, USA Rare Earth to Export Control List Amid Escalating U.S.-China Trade Tensions

China has expanded its export control measures by adding two major U.S. rare earth companies, MP Materials Corp (NYSE: MP) and USA Rare Earth Inc (NASDAQ: USAR), to its export control list, according to a notice issued by...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SK Hynix Overtakes Samsung as South Korea’s Most Valuable Company

SK Hynix briefly surpassed Samsung Electronics in market capitalization on Monday, marking a historic milestone in South Koreas corporate landscape. The AI-driven semiconductor boom has propelled the memory chip giant to...

US-Iran De-Escalation Shifts Washington’s Focus to AI Regulation and Crypto Legislation

A potential easing of tensions between the United States and Iran is redirecting Washingtons attention toward major technology policy initiatives and executive actions, according to a new report from Wolfe Research. The...

Google’s Open-Source AI Data Center Cooling Design Raises Commoditization Concerns

Googles newly introduced open-source liquid-cooling design for AI data centers is drawing attention across the data center infrastructure industry, with analysts suggesting it could accelerate the commoditization of...

John Jumper Leaves Google DeepMind for Anthropic Amid Intensifying AI Talent Race

John Jumper, the Google DeepMind researcher who shared the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for his groundbreaking work on the AlphaFold artificial intelligence system, has announced that he is leaving Google DeepMind to join...

Trump Says Anthropic No Longer Seen as National Security Threat

U.S. President Donald Trump said he no longer views artificial intelligence company Anthropic as a national security threat, marking a significant shift from his stance just a week earlier. The comments came during an...
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