FOMC likely to soften its forward guidance, still signal some further policy rate firming needed: Barclays Research

Jan 29, 2019 09:00 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to soften its forward guidance, yet still signal that it believes some further policy rate firming will likely be needed, given the shift in tone from FOMC participants...

FxWirePro: Deploy ‘debit call spread’ to hedge USD/RUB on CBR intervention

Jan 28, 2019 13:56 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

As stated in our previous post, CBRs indication of hikes has cushioned ruble depreciation. Resumption of FX purchases will prove bearish for RUB, in our view. The CBR announced the resumption of FX purchases from...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Jan 28, 2019 13:14 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In terms of volatility risks, this week is extremely heavy with the focus on Brexit, and Sino-American trade talks, What to watch for over the coming days: Central Banks: Federal Reserve will announce interest...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Jan 28, 2019 10:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 28th...

FxWirePro: NZD/USD projections lower in 2019 as USD likely to get cushion from Fed but Kiwis vulnerable on dovish RBNZ and macro outlook

Jan 28, 2019 07:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

NZD has actually performed better than expected over 4Q2018, as a rebound in domestic activity data offset global drags on high beta FX. Still, it is reckoned that the global risks play less favorably for NZ than they do...

ECB’s softer tone amid downside risks to Eurozone growth could suppress EUR’s strength for now, says Scotiabank

Jan 28, 2019 07:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The ECBs softer tone amid downside risks to the Eurozone growth could suppress the EURs strength for now. ECB President Mario Draghi said in an opening statement at his news conference last Thursday that the risks...

Explainer: South Africa's central bank -- ownership, mandate and independence

Jan 27, 2019 14:45 pm UTC| Central Banks Economy

In recent months, various debates about the South African Reserve Bank have focused broadly on three aspects its shareholding, its mandate and its independence. The three debates are somewhat convoluted. They are...