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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Jan 21, 2019 07:33 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 7th...

FxWirePro: Spot on Cheaper Yen Vols Ahead of BoJ, Strategic Vega Longs in 2019

Jan 21, 2019 07:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The US market would be closed today due to it being Martin Luther King Day and there are few economic data releases. The main event this week would be the ECB,BoJ,and Norges Bank meetings, although neither the ECB or the...

FxWirePro: South African Rand drops on less hawkish SARB – Use ITM instruments to hedge both USD/ZAR minor and major trend

Jan 18, 2019 14:10 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

As generally expected, the South African central bank (SARB) left its key interest rate at 6.75% today. The statement sounded less hawkish because the SARB has significantly lowered its inflation forecasts and its key rate...

BoK likely to leave key policy rate unchanged next week amid synchronized global slowdown, says Scotiabank

Jan 18, 2019 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of Korea (BoK) is expected to leave its benchmark monetary policy rate unchanged at 1.75 percent at its monetary policy meeting on next Thursday amid a synchronized global slowdown and heightened disinflation...

CBT banks on inflationary forecasts to look hawkish, short leg of FxWirePro’s debit call spreads on its functionality

Jan 17, 2019 14:21 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) held its one-week repo auction rate at 24 pct on January 16thas widely expected, saying risks on price stability continue to prevail although there was some improvement in the inflation...

Bank Indonesia keeps key interest rate on hold, likely to hike by 25 bps in June 2019

Jan 17, 2019 12:16 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Indonesian central bank stood pat during its monetary policy meeting today. As expected, Bank Indonesia maintained its 7-day reverse repo rate at 6 percent for the second consecutive month. The recent strength in the...

FxWirePro: Take a glance at why 3m AUD risk reversals and skews move in sync with the Q1’2019 projections

Jan 17, 2019 11:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Despite the mild rallies of AUDUSD during New Year season, bears have resumed again, and we continue to expect modest depreciation towards 0.68 levels by Q1 end contemplating JPMs forecasts and assumptions that global...

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Economy

Japan Real Wages Rise 1.5%, Supporting BOJ Rate Hikes

Japans inflation-adjusted wages increased for an eighth consecutive month in August, signaling continued improvement in household purchasing power and strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan could pursue further...

Iran Tanker Attacks Surge as Hormuz Oil Flows Near Prewar Levels

Iran has intensified attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz even as oil shipments through the crucial waterway recover toward levels seen before the war, raising fresh concerns over Middle East energy security. UK...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Attacks Fuel Supply Fears

Oil prices reversed earlier losses on Tuesday as escalating security risks in the Strait of Hormuz and Yemen outweighed improving Middle East crude exports and plans by Group of Seven nations to release emergency reserves....

S&P 500 Hits Record High as AI Rally Lifts Wall Street

Wall Street advanced on Tuesday, pushing the SP 500 and Nasdaq Composite to record closing highs as enthusiasm over artificial intelligence, easing Treasury yields and relatively subdued oil prices supported investor...

Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens, Treasury Yields Ease

Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday as a weaker U.S. dollar and easing Treasury yields provided support, although rising oil prices limited bullions advance. Spot gold climbed 0.6% to settle at $4,163.97 per ounce, while...

Politics

Rapidus Seeks Chip Customers as Japan Pushes 2nm Semiconductor Revival

Japans Rapidus is expanding partnerships with global chip design companies as the state-backed semiconductor manufacturer races to secure customers for its planned 2-nanometre production facility. Backed by roughly $15...

Vance Demands Iran Cut Nuclear Enrichment to End War

US Vice President JD Vance said Iran must significantly reduce its nuclear enrichment capacity before Washington will agree to end the seven-month US-Iran war, stressing that concrete action rather than diplomatic...

North Korea Slams US Taiwan Arms Sales, Reaffirms Russia Support

North Korea has criticized the United States for supplying weapons and military support to Taiwan, accusing Washington of increasing tensions across the Taiwan Strait as Pyongyang also reaffirmed its backing for Russia. In...

Zelenskiy Warns Russia Is Preparing Massive Attack on Ukraine

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy warned on Tuesday that Russia is preparing a potentially massive attack on Ukraine, citing the latest intelligence gathered by Ukrainian authorities. In his nightly video address,...

Lula Weighs Alckmin as Finance Minister to Boost Fiscal Credibility

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is considering appointing Vice President Geraldo Alckmin as finance minister if he wins re-election, a move aimed at strengthening his fiscal credentials ahead of Brazils...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SpaceX Seeks $40 Billion for Nvidia AI Chips

SpaceX is seeking to raise about $40 billion to finance a major purchase of Nvidia artificial intelligence chips, with Apollo Global Management expected to lead the fundraising effort, the Financial Times reported Tuesday....

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Warns Mythos AI Raises Cyber Risk Tenfold

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has warned that advanced artificial intelligence systems are dramatically increasing cybersecurity risks for global banks, calling cyberattacks the financial giants biggest threat. Speaking...

Anthropic Expands Claude Access for Cyber Defense Teams

Anthropic has expanded access to its most advanced artificial intelligence models for verified cybersecurity professionals and select government partners, aiming to strengthen defenses against threats targeting critical...

Marvell Stock Surges on $90 Billion AI Revenue Outlook

Marvell Technology shares surged on Tuesday after the semiconductor company unveiled ambitious long-term financial targets driven by rapidly expanding demand for artificial intelligence and data center infrastructure....

Zcash Prepares for NU7 Upgrade as Zebra Gets Key Security Fixes

The Zcash network is moving closer to its NU7 upgrade following a series of Zebra releases focused on security, performance and network stability. According to an engineering update from the official Zcash Foundation X...
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