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FOMC Monetary Policy September 2018: Assessing future bias from statement and projection materials

Sep 27, 2018 05:44 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected, the policymakers at FOMC hiked interest rates by 25 basis points at yesterdays meeting. Current Federal funds rate target 200-225 basis points. Lets first assess the bias in monetary policy statement...

FxWirePro: HKD retraces more than 50% Fibos as HIBOR lower than LIBOR - Shorts in 3m USDHKD forwards, holding IRS receiver still alluring

Sep 26, 2018 14:11 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

USDHKD has tumbled sharply below 21-EMAs, the bears have retraced more than 50% Fibonacci retracements of 2015 lows and 2018 highs but managed to pare the losses as currently trading at 7.8106 levels. While HKMA is...

FxWirePro: What drives peaked EMFX vols? A glimpse at global trade developments, valuations and VXY

Sep 26, 2018 13:50 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

EM central banks, namely BSP and BI, are predicted to shadow FOMCs imminent hike, although the main reasons for their expected actions are currently divergent, with the former mostly addressing soaring inflation, while the...

FxWirePro: What to watch in FOMC meet ahead?

Sep 26, 2018 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The U.S. Federal Reserve is in a hawkish mode. Since December 2015, the U.S. Federal Reserve has hiked rates seven times. It has hiked rates twice this year in unanimous voting and forecasted two more hikes over the...

FxWirePro: Three FX derivatives perspective – Trios to tackle low-delta, US-China trade conflict and delta-hedge ahead of FED

Sep 26, 2018 11:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Last week ended 19thSeptember saw global inflows to both equities and bonds, underscoringmarket-watchers indifference to the ongoing US-China trade barbs.The recent headline economic-related indicators post 24thSeptember,...

Federal Reserve likely to set target rate at 2.00-2.25 pct range; new policy signals unlikely: Danske Bank

Sep 26, 2018 08:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Federal Reserve is expected to hike the target range to 2.00-2.25 percent, but not send any new policy signals, according to the latest research report from Danske Bank. With respect to Fed projections, it will most...

FxWirePro: Day of FED and RBNZ – NZD/USD valuations, projections and hedging perspectives

Sep 26, 2018 08:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Todays prime focus is on the US FED and RBNZs monetary policy announcements. The US dollar should strengthen further if the Fed hints on further hikes this year, and that will nudge Kiwis dollar lower. While the RBNZ took...

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Economy

US Stock Futures Recover as Iran Signals Progress in Peace Talks

U.S. stock index futures pared earlier losses on Sunday night after Iran reported progress in ongoing peace negotiations held in Switzerland, easing investor concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle...

Gold Price Rises as Investors Weigh U.S.-Iran Talks and Fed Policy Outlook

Gold prices moved higher on Monday as investors closely followed developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations and evaluated the future direction of U.S. monetary policy after the Federal Reserves recent hawkish stance. Spot gold...

Oil Prices Drop as U.S.-Iran Talks Ease Supply Concerns

Oil prices fell on Monday as progress in U.S.-Iran negotiations reduced fears of a potential supply disruption in global energy markets. The decline came after Iranian officials announced they had secured waivers for oil...

Russian Stocks End Flat as MOEX Index Hits New 52-Week Low

Russian stocks closed largely unchanged on Sunday, with the MOEX Russia Index ending the session flat at 0.00% while marking a new 52-week low. The lack of movement across major Russian equities reflected a subdued trading...

France Faces Long Road to Economic Rebalancing as Weak Demand and High Rates Weigh, Says Citi

France may remain stuck in a prolonged period of weak domestic demand, low inflation, and fiscal challenges as structural shifts in its labor market make the economy more vulnerable to high interest rates than other...

Politics

Pedro Sanchez’s Wife Ordered to Stand Trial in Spain Corruption Case

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchezs wife, Begoña Gomez, has been ordered to stand trial on corruption-related charges and has been barred from leaving Spain, according to a ruling issued by Judge Juan Carlos...

Moscow Downs Dozens of Ukrainian Drones as Airports Halt Flights Amid Escalating Attacks

Russias capital, Moscow, came under a major drone attack early Monday, with air defense systems intercepting nearly 60 Ukrainian drones heading toward the city, according to Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The incident briefly...

China Adds MP Materials, USA Rare Earth to Export Control List Amid Escalating U.S.-China Trade Tensions

China has expanded its export control measures by adding two major U.S. rare earth companies, MP Materials Corp (NYSE: MP) and USA Rare Earth Inc (NASDAQ: USAR), to its export control list, according to a notice issued by...

US-Iran De-Escalation Shifts Washington’s Focus to AI Regulation and Crypto Legislation

A potential easing of tensions between the United States and Iran is redirecting Washingtons attention toward major technology policy initiatives and executive actions, according to a new report from Wolfe Research. The...

Pirro Warns of Prosecution for Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool Vandalism Amid Renovation Issues

People caught vandalizing the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool on Washingtons National Mall will face full prosecution, according to U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro. Her comments come as concerns grow over damage and...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Google’s Open-Source AI Data Center Cooling Design Raises Commoditization Concerns

Googles newly introduced open-source liquid-cooling design for AI data centers is drawing attention across the data center infrastructure industry, with analysts suggesting it could accelerate the commoditization of...

John Jumper Leaves Google DeepMind for Anthropic Amid Intensifying AI Talent Race

John Jumper, the Google DeepMind researcher who shared the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for his groundbreaking work on the AlphaFold artificial intelligence system, has announced that he is leaving Google DeepMind to join...

Trump Says Anthropic No Longer Seen as National Security Threat

U.S. President Donald Trump said he no longer views artificial intelligence company Anthropic as a national security threat, marking a significant shift from his stance just a week earlier. The comments came during an...

Meta Seeks Legal Shield From Child-Harm Lawsuits Amid KOSA Talks

Meta Platforms is reportedly lobbying U.S. lawmakers to include legal protections for social media companies in the proposed Kids Online Safety Act (KOSA), a move that could significantly impact thousands of lawsuits...

SpaceX Stock Slides After IPO Rally as Valuation Concerns Grow

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) shares extended their pullback on Thursday after a remarkable post-IPO rally, as investors locked in profits and questioned the companys lofty valuation. The stock, which dropped nearly 10% earlier in...
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