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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 10th April 2017

Apr 10, 2017 04:37 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Home loans declined by 0.5 percent in February, investment lending for homes...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of European derivatives and valuation arguments of Bund Swap spread

Apr 07, 2017 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The ECB rhetoric has reduced expectation of an early ECB lift off but the EONIA market is still pricing 10bp of tightening by Jun18. Over the past week, swap spreads narrowed at the front while Bund and Buxl widened...

FxWirePro: EUR/PLN calls and other outright trades lure investors in CEE FX streets

Apr 07, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Central Banks

The MPC of Polish central bank (NBP) meeting yesterday was a non-event from a rate standpoint. But it brought fresh dovish emphasis as per the market anticipation. Perhaps the CBs latest message is best summarized by...

FxWirePro: RBI surprises streets with reverse repo, more focus on inflationary outlook than INR appreciation – Futures of mid-month tenors to hedge

Apr 07, 2017 10:47 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) surprised the market slightly yesterday by hiking the reverse repo rate and raising the inflation outlook slightly for FY2017-2018. The benchmark repo was left unchanged at...

FxWirePro: Prefer USD/MXN gamma neutral calendar skews on carry-to-vols ratio and Banxico hikes

Apr 07, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Banxico hiked 25bp; we see limited MXN gains but prefer calendar skews at the current juncture. Banxico has hiked its policy rate 25bp to 6.5% and signaled a shift in gears towards a slower pace of tightening...

FxWirePro: Stay short EUR/CZK on CNB’s macro projection

Apr 07, 2017 07:16 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

EURCZK spot and forward exchange rates as well as Czech interest rates went through huge volatility yesterday after the Czech National Bank ended its EURCZK floor mechanism at an extraordinary board meeting. The EURCZK...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Antipodeans bank upon central banks, Aussie dollar edgy on commodity markets – 3-way straddles vs OTM call for optimal hedging

Apr 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Antipodean pair now wants to retest the 1.0800 area, which looks vulnerable to giving way to 1.0750. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 at year-end. The support to growth from migration will...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Steady as Markets Await U.S. Inflation Data

Asian currencies and the U.S. dollar traded in narrow ranges on Tuesday as investors stayed cautious ahead of key U.S. inflation data that could influence expectations for the Federal Reserves interest-rate outlook. The...

Asian Stocks Mixed as RBA Holds Rates, Oil Risks Rise

Asian stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as gains in South Korea and Singapore offset weakness across several regional markets. Investors assessed the Reserve Bank of Australias latest interest rate decision while monitoring...

Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Talks Stall, Inflation Risks Grow

Oil prices climbed on Tuesday as stalled U.S.-Iran peace negotiations and uncertainty over reopening the Strait of Hormuz renewed concerns about global energy supplies. Asian stock markets, meanwhile, traded cautiously as...

Singapore Raises 2026 GDP Growth Forecast to 4.5%-5.5% as AI Boom Fuels Economy

Singapore has sharply upgraded its 2026 economic growth forecast, citing stronger global artificial intelligence investment, resilient external demand and a less severe economic impact from the Middle East conflict than...

Gold Price Hits Two-Month High as Investors Await US Inflation Data

Gold prices extended their rally on Tuesday, climbing to their highest level in more than two months as strong investor demand, safe-haven buying and bullish momentum outweighed pressure from higher U.S. Treasury yields, a...

Politics

Ukraine Accuses Russia of Systematic Torture of POWs and Civilian Detainees

Former Ukrainian detainees and government officials have accused Russia of widespread and systematic torture of Ukrainian prisoners of war and civilian detainees, alleging beatings, electric shocks, sexual violence and...

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills 7, Injures 30

At least seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a major attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. The military said in a statement early Monday that...

Trump Media Says Truth API Draws 10+ Customers as Conflict Concerns Grow

Trump Media Technology Group said Monday that more than 10 customers have signed up for its upcoming Truth API, a real-time data service designed to provide rapid access to posts from prominent Truth Social accounts,...

Trump Secretly Switched Planes in Turkey After Iran Threat, Report Says

U.S. President Donald Trump secretly switched to a smaller military aircraft while leaving Turkey last month due to a potential Iranian security threat, according to a Washington Post report published Monday. Trump had...

FCC Steps Up China Tech Crackdown as Beijing Pushes Back

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has emerged as a key force in the Trump administrations technology and national security strategy toward China, expanding its role far beyond traditional oversight of...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Signs $9.1B AI Data Center Deal With Riot Platforms

Anthropic has reportedly signed a $9.1 billion long-term agreement with Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) to secure large-scale AI computing capacity, marking another major investment by the Claude developer as demand for...

Nvidia Secures $500 Billion AI Infrastructure Push With Wall Street Giants

Nvidia is expanding its influence beyond semiconductors after announcing agreements aimed at mobilizing up to $500 billion in third-party capital for artificial intelligence infrastructure. The move brings the AI chip...

SEC Clears Path for Data Center Securitizations as AI Financing Demand Surges

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has provided regulatory clarification that could make it easier for data center owners and operators to access capital markets as the artificial intelligence boom drives...

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...