FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Mounting expectations of RBNZ’s OCR cuts to stimulate Kiwi dollar turbulence

Oct 25, 2016 13:36 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Ahead of RBNZs monetary policy meeting that is scheduled next week, the market pricing for a November OCR cut has been stable during the past two weeks at around 80% (currently 86%). Q3 CPI data was unsurprising to RBNZ...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Are you lured by yen crosses’ post-BoJ event risk premium? Why don’t you eye on exorbitant EUR/JPY gammas?

Oct 25, 2016 12:44 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The BoJ governor Kuroda hinted at adelay of timing to reach 2% inflation beyond the end of his term in April 2018. With growth remaining above trend, the BoJ likely would maintain status quo at its November 1 policy...

German out-performance would complicate ECB policy making

Oct 25, 2016 12:09 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Germanys economic performance has been the driving force of the euro areas recovery so far, and upbeat business confidence in October suggests that the German economy is on track for more robust growth. Brexit vote had...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Speculating EUR/USD’s non-directional trend via iron condors in tepid IVs

Oct 25, 2016 11:35 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The euro was little changed yesterday, despite the hawkish Fed rhetoric, after stronger-than-expected October PMI data and comments from ECB Governing Council member Hansson that all aspects of the QE programme needed...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: How likely is November hike from Fed?

Oct 25, 2016 11:31 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The rate hike odds for 2016 have reached a five-month high yesterday at 70 percent and all the economists surveyed by Bloomberg believe that Fed will hike once this year. However, opinions are divided over the next two...

NBH likely to remain on hold, to meet inflation target by mid-2018

Oct 25, 2016 10:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at the monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held today as its policy is still focusing on non-standard monetary trolls. This is...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Short rich gamma in USD/BRL as BCB shifts into hawkish tone

Oct 25, 2016 09:47 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Brazils long-awaited exit from recession took a step back this week, with a disappointing set of August activity data leading us to lower the growth projection for Q316 even though we still see a tepid recovery starting...