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FxWirePro: What-if scenarios of USD/JPY – Bid positive shifts in RR for deploying OTM put writing in debit put spreads

Jul 27, 2017 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Today many analysts will give in to the temptation of putting the impressive collapse of the USD we are currently seeing down to the small changes in the FOMC statement. Well, the changes related to (a) the planned...

FxWirePro: Bullish, bearish scenarios of GBP and CAD – Keep check on both swings appending optionality

Jul 26, 2017 12:26 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bearish GBP scenarios are driven by: 1) Growth slows below 1% as consumers are squeezed by inflation and falling house prices. 2) Outright capital repatriation from slower moving long-term investors including...

UK Q2 GDP growth sees marginal improvement from Q1, raises downside risks to 2017 GDP outlook

Jul 26, 2017 12:01 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

UK economic growth nudged up in the second quarter of 2017 after a notable slowdown seen in the first half of the year. Official data for gross domestic product published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed...

FxWirePro: Brazilian lira to extend vulnerability ahead BCB’s dovishness – USD/BRL diagonal call ratio spreads on rosy sides

Jul 26, 2017 11:33 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Brazilian central bank is lined up to announce its monetary policy today, following its last rate meeting in late May the Brazilian central bank had signaled that future rate hikes might happen in smaller steps. This more...

FxWirePro: GBP/CAD mounting downtrend slides through falling wedge and most likely 3-black crows formation on major trend

Jul 26, 2017 10:46 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

In short term trend, the pair has been sliding through falling wedge pattern. Every price spikes are restrained below wedge resistance and every dipis backed by wedge baseline. The bearish pressure is again observed...

FxWirePro: Snippets of EMEA, EM Asia FX and LatAm FX space

Jul 26, 2017 09:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Achieve more value in owning carry than shorting vols in EM: The paucity of opportunities to play vol compression is a boon for carry-friendly option bets in anticipation of a risk rally next week in the absence of an...

FxWirePro: NZD/USD “Diagonal Credit Put Spreads” to address both bullish and bearish scenarios

Jul 26, 2017 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In bullish scenarios, we foresee NZDUSD to go towards 0.75 if: 1) The dairy sectors recovery accelerates, reining in the current account deficit; or 2) The migration flows and housing kick up another gear. In...

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Economy

Dollar Rises as Fed Hike Bets Weigh on Asian Currencies

Asian currencies weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday as investors raised expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. The Japanese yen remained close to a seven-month high as traders also...

BOJ Flags Import Costs and Yen Shocks as Persistent Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is increasingly concerned that rising import costs and currency fluctuations can trigger sharp inflation in Japan, suggesting these supply-driven price pressures should play a greater role in monetary...

Asian Stocks Fall as AI Fears and Oil Surge Hit Markets

Asian stocks declined on Monday as concerns over a potential slowdown in artificial intelligence development pressured technology shares, while oil prices above $100 a barrel fueled inflation fears and expectations for...

Hormuz Vessel Traffic Drops to Single Digits

Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to single-digit daily levels over the weekend, highlighting growing disruption to one of the worlds most important energy and shipping routes. Preliminary...

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, reversing its previous forecast for no change as inflation concerns intensify across U.S. financial...

Politics

Trump Open to Chinese Automakers Building Cars in US

President Donald Trump said he would not oppose Chinese automakers opening manufacturing plants in the United States, provided they build vehicles domestically and employ American workers. If China wanted to come in and...

Trump Touts $5,000 Checks if Republicans Win Congress

President Donald Trump said the United States could afford to send $5,000 payments to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in this years elections, though lawmakers said the proposal would require...

Takaichi-Backed Koja Wins Okinawa Governor Race

A candidate supported by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government has won the Okinawa gubernatorial election, potentially clearing the way for Tokyo to expand its military presence across the strategically...

Philippines Holds Historic Bangsamoro Election Amid Tight Security

Voting began Monday in the Philippines Muslim-majority south in a landmark Bangsamoro election, with security tightened after pre-election violence left three people dead and 15 others wounded. The vote is considered a...

China’s Global Times Slams Anthropic CEO’s AI Slowdown Plan as ‘Cold War’ Strategy

Chinas state-backed Global Times has criticized Anthropic CEO Dario Amodeis proposal to slow the development of advanced artificial intelligence, arguing that the initiative reflects a U.S. Cold War playbook aimed at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SoftBank Shares Plunge 11% After OpenAI Rules Out 2026 IPO

SoftBank Group shares plunged on Monday as investors reacted to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman ruling out a public listing in 2026 and growing calls to slow the pace of artificial intelligence development. SoftBank (TYO: 9984)...

Z.AI Shares Slide 7% After $5 Billion Fundraising

Z.AI shares tumbled nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a 5-1/2-month low after the Chinese artificial intelligence company completed a roughly $5 billion fundraising package involving discounted new shares and convertible...

Anthropic Eyes Second Straight Profitable Quarter Ahead of Potential IPO

Anthropic expects to post positive adjusted operating income for a second consecutive quarter, signaling improving financial performance as the artificial intelligence company moves closer to a potential IPO, the Financial...

Trump Vows to Keep U.S. Ahead of China in AI Race

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States must maintain its artificial intelligence lead over China, pushing back against calls from prominent technology leaders to slow AI development amid growing safety...

Samsung, SK Hynix Reject KEPCO’s $18.7 Billion Power Funding Plan

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) that would require the chipmakers to provide 25 trillion won ($18.7 billion) in upfront funding to secure electricity...