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FxWirePro: CNB to normalize monetary policy - Uphold EUR/CZK shorts in forwards of far-month tenors

May 11, 2017 11:50 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The CNBs new staff forecast and communication mix sent a more dovish signal than anticipated. This included a downward shift in the projected inflation path, a lower path of market rates consistent with the forecast, the...

RBNZ surprises markets with a dovish outlook, squashes expectations of an earlier interest rate hike

May 11, 2017 11:34 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

At its latest policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) left its OCR unchanged at 1.75 percent as widely expected. The RBNZ said that global economic growth has increased and become more broad-based over...

FxWirePro: “Here’s your Pink slip” - Trump’s firing to keep US economy and DXY’s triumph on check

May 11, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Yesterday, in true Apprentice style, US President Trump fired FBI Director James Comey, in unconventional and unconstitutional fashion. The move is not only going to drive calls for an independent investigation but is also...

FxWirePro: Tailored Vega in GBP/NZD “ATM Straddles” for speculative trend on super Thursday and “Credit Call Spreads” on hedging grounds

May 11, 2017 09:38 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The two main overnight movers were the NZD and the CAD. The NZD is under pressure on the back of dovish rhetoric from Governor Wheeler, while the CAD reversed its oil price following gains after Moodys downgraded several...

FxWirePro: GBP/NZD bulls bang on with engulfing pattern but major downtrend may resume at 21-EMA – Double touch binary speculation on RBNZ and BoE

May 11, 2017 07:41 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

After strong support at 1.8660, bulls have managed to bounce back with sharp rallies with convincing volumes. As a result, the bullish engulfing pattern candle is traced out (refer 4H chart). Current price, for now, has...

FxWirePro: NZD/USD 1m IV skews give away more bearish outlook, Fed and RBNZ to substantiate – Customize Currency Swaps as IRS yields to spike

May 11, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

At its May interest rate review, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) on hold at 1.75%, as expected. However, the RBNZ also concluded that developments since the February Monetary Policy...

Budget bank levy: too big to fail, not too big to take a hit

May 11, 2017 00:26 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

The budget announcement of a 0.06% levy on a subset of bank liabilities looks arbitrary, and is certainly politically opportunistic. But it could be rationalised as a response, albeit probably not the best response, to...

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Economy

Dollar Rises as Fed Hike Bets Weigh on Asian Currencies

Asian currencies weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday as investors raised expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. The Japanese yen remained close to a seven-month high as traders also...

BOJ Flags Import Costs and Yen Shocks as Persistent Inflation Risks

The Bank of Japan is increasingly concerned that rising import costs and currency fluctuations can trigger sharp inflation in Japan, suggesting these supply-driven price pressures should play a greater role in monetary...

Asian Stocks Fall as AI Fears and Oil Surge Hit Markets

Asian stocks declined on Monday as concerns over a potential slowdown in artificial intelligence development pressured technology shares, while oil prices above $100 a barrel fueled inflation fears and expectations for...

Hormuz Vessel Traffic Drops to Single Digits

Commodity vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to single-digit daily levels over the weekend, highlighting growing disruption to one of the worlds most important energy and shipping routes. Preliminary...

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Fed Rate Hike as Inflation Risks Rise

Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, reversing its previous forecast for no change as inflation concerns intensify across U.S. financial...

Politics

Trump Open to Chinese Automakers Building Cars in US

President Donald Trump said he would not oppose Chinese automakers opening manufacturing plants in the United States, provided they build vehicles domestically and employ American workers. If China wanted to come in and...

Trump Touts $5,000 Checks if Republicans Win Congress

President Donald Trump said the United States could afford to send $5,000 payments to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in this years elections, though lawmakers said the proposal would require...

Takaichi-Backed Koja Wins Okinawa Governor Race

A candidate supported by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government has won the Okinawa gubernatorial election, potentially clearing the way for Tokyo to expand its military presence across the strategically...

Philippines Holds Historic Bangsamoro Election Amid Tight Security

Voting began Monday in the Philippines Muslim-majority south in a landmark Bangsamoro election, with security tightened after pre-election violence left three people dead and 15 others wounded. The vote is considered a...

China’s Global Times Slams Anthropic CEO’s AI Slowdown Plan as ‘Cold War’ Strategy

Chinas state-backed Global Times has criticized Anthropic CEO Dario Amodeis proposal to slow the development of advanced artificial intelligence, arguing that the initiative reflects a U.S. Cold War playbook aimed at...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

SoftBank Shares Plunge 11% After OpenAI Rules Out 2026 IPO

SoftBank Group shares plunged on Monday as investors reacted to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman ruling out a public listing in 2026 and growing calls to slow the pace of artificial intelligence development. SoftBank (TYO: 9984)...

Z.AI Shares Slide 7% After $5 Billion Fundraising

Z.AI shares tumbled nearly 7% on Monday, reaching a 5-1/2-month low after the Chinese artificial intelligence company completed a roughly $5 billion fundraising package involving discounted new shares and convertible...

Anthropic Eyes Second Straight Profitable Quarter Ahead of Potential IPO

Anthropic expects to post positive adjusted operating income for a second consecutive quarter, signaling improving financial performance as the artificial intelligence company moves closer to a potential IPO, the Financial...

Trump Vows to Keep U.S. Ahead of China in AI Race

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the United States must maintain its artificial intelligence lead over China, pushing back against calls from prominent technology leaders to slow AI development amid growing safety...

Samsung, SK Hynix Reject KEPCO’s $18.7 Billion Power Funding Plan

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have rejected a proposal from Korea Electric Power Corp. (KEPCO) that would require the chipmakers to provide 25 trillion won ($18.7 billion) in upfront funding to secure electricity...
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