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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Softer wages and inflation point to a dovish BoE

Jan 12, 2016 15:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

BOE recently pushed back hike call to November 2016 from May 2016. Despite continued strong jobs gains, wage data have softened. Along with downward growth revisions and Brexit uncertainties, the BoE now has plenty of...

Currency War Series

Strategic divergence between BoE and Fed builds

Jan 12, 2016 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Central banks can have two responses to a tightening economy, they could either hike earlier and more gradually, or later and not quite so gradually. The former was BoEs likely approach six months ago, but as we stand...

Currency War Series

Riksbank in a tough spot with interest rates at extremely low levels

Jan 12, 2016 11:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As the Swedish economy is seen growing, the Riksbank has revised up GDP forecasts to around 3.5% for 2016. The refugee influx gives a fiscal boost to the economy in the coming years, as the number of people employed in...

Currency War Series

Change to the Turkish Central Bank’s MPC composition seen in mid 2016

Jan 12, 2016 10:38 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Central Bank of Turkeys willingness to tighten its monetary policies in line with rising market volatility is still questionable, as the CBRTs policy meeting could not raise the markets perception of the CBTs...

Currency War Series

Sweden’s Riksbank’s move towards FX tools shows signs of economic weakness

Jan 12, 2016 09:47 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Riksbank is now concentrating on FX because it is worried that the non-FX tools are not much efficient in raising the credit multiplier and are leading funds towards low yield investments resulting in real estate and...

Currency War Series

Norway's Central Bank likely to cut rates in March

Jan 11, 2016 11:40 am UTC| Commentary

Norwegian December core inflation stood at 3.0%, in line with Norges Banks forecast, but below consensus at 3.2% and the central bank expects inflation to stay the same for some months. As food prices were cut before...

Currency War Series

Riksbank rate cut likely in H1 2016

Jan 11, 2016 04:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Currently SEK is slightly stronger than the Riksbanks forecast. This is the main reason that FX intervention is expecting to bolster the rise in Inflation. There are two possibilities that Riksbank may undertake....

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

Shibarium Faces 97% Drop in Transactions, Yet Transfers Rise Steadily

While the Shiba Inu developer team continues to work on and implement key updates to the Layer-2 blockchain, Shibarium is seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which has been ongoing for about a month. This...

High FDVs on Binance Listings Lead to Investor Losses, Analysis Reveals

An analysis of Binance listings over the past six months reveals that high fully diluted valuations often lead to token value loss, adversely affecting regular investors while benefiting insiders. VC-Backed Tokens on...

Tesla Offers Model 3 Demo Vehicles at Discounted Prices in U.S. and Canada

Tesla is offering demo Model 3 vehicles at a slight discount in the U.S. and Canada. These vehicles have low mileage and come with warranties, making them an attractive option for buyers looking for savings on Teslas...

Phantom Wallet Climbs Apple App Store Charts — Bullish Sign for Solana?

Phantom Wallet has climbed to third place in Apples app store utility category, sparking bullish sentiments for Solana among crypto experts and analysts. Phantom Wallet Ranks Third in Apple App Store, Sparking Bullish...
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