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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

U.S. Fed likely to hike rate to 1 pct in June, says Lloyds Bank

Jan 12, 2017 07:12 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As was widely expected, the U.S. Fed had hiked its interest rates in December to 0.75 percent. The dot plot, which is the median policy rate projection of members was upped to three rate rises in 2017 from two previously,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Balance sheet reduction likely to be tabled this year

Jan 10, 2017 10:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

While the Federal Reserve policymakers have forecasted three rate hikes this year in the December meeting and discussed on that in their individual speeches, a little or no attention has been paid to the $4 trillion...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Reanalyzing December projections for hikes clue

Jan 10, 2017 08:07 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to December Projections, the Federal Reserve policymakers expect the Federal funds rate to be 1.4 percent in 2017, which is approximately 75 basis points higher than the current rate and implies three 25 basis...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Rosengren talks hawk

Jan 10, 2017 06:49 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans elaborated their hawkish outlook, it was Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren yesterday who discussed the need for a faster rate hikes in...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Members more hawkish

Jan 09, 2017 12:15 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The US Federal Reserve might turn out as a more hawkish one in 2017 compared to 2016, not just b because it forecasted a higher number of interest rates just like it did in the past two years but because it might actually...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike Aftermath Series: How FOMC policy board looks in 2017?

Jan 05, 2017 07:50 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Its a new year, hence new members at FOMC along with some old ones who would be voting for rates in 2017. Lets review the stance of different members - Janet Yellen would remain the chair of the committee in 2017 and...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Market not convinced of three rate hikes in 2017

Dec 23, 2016 10:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In its last monetary policy forecast, the Federal reserve has projected three rate hikes in 2017 but that is quite an upgrade given the facts that the FED has raised rates only twice over the past two years. In both 2015...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Slide as Indian Rupee Hits Record Low Amid Iran Tensions

Asian currencies weakened further on Tuesday, led by the Indian rupee, which plunged to a record low as rising Middle East tensions pushed crude oil prices higher and strengthened demand for the U.S. dollar. Investors also...

US, Japan Reaffirm Strong Currency Coordination Amid Yen Volatility

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed strong cooperation on foreign exchange policy during meetings in Tokyo, signaling continued coordination to address excessive...

Rubio Discusses Iran Crisis and Strait of Hormuz Disruptions With UK and Australia

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio held separate discussions on Monday with Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong and British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper regarding the escalating Iran conflict and the ongoing...

Trump Says Iran Ceasefire ‘On Life Support’ as Oil Prices Surge Above $104

Hopes for a peace deal between the United States and Iran weakened Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said the fragile ceasefire was on life support following Tehrans rejection of a U.S.-backed proposal aimed at...

US Inflation Expected to Rise Again in April as Fed Signals Higher Interest Rates

U.S. consumer prices likely increased at a steady pace for the second consecutive month in April, reinforcing concerns that inflation remains stubbornly high and strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve will...

Politics

Israel Approves Special Military Tribunal for Hamas October 7 Attack Suspects

Israels parliament has approved a new law establishing a special military tribunal to prosecute Palestinian militants involved in the October 7, 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel. The legislation, passed late Monday by a...

GOP Lawmakers Probe Sam Altman and OpenAI Ahead of Potential IPO

Republican lawmakers and several Republican state attorneys general are increasing scrutiny of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman over concerns tied to the companys governance and business relationships ahead of a possible OpenAI IPO,...

Trump Weighs Renewed Military Action Against Iran Amid Strait of Hormuz Crisis

U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly giving stronger consideration to restarting major combat operations against Iran as diplomatic efforts and nuclear negotiations continue to stall. According to a CNN report...

Trump Administration Seeks Court Pause to Reinstate 10% Global Tariffs

The Trump administration has asked a U.S. federal court to temporarily pause a recent ruling that challenged the legality of the administrations 10% global tariff policy while the government continues its appeal process....

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang Pleads Guilty in China Foreign Agent Case

Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang has agreed to plead guilty to a federal charge of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for the Chinese government, according to U.S. officials. The case has drawn national attention due to...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Kuaishou Stock Jumps on Kling AI IPO Plans and $20 Billion Valuation

Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) shares surged on Tuesday after reports revealed that the Chinese short-video giant is considering spinning off its Kling artificial intelligence video generation business. The news boosted...

Samsung Shares Slide as Labor Talks Intensify Ahead of Planned Strike

Samsung Electronics shares dropped more than 2% on Tuesday as investors monitored critical negotiations between the tech giant and its labor union over a potential strike that could impact the global semiconductor...

Ibiden Stock Surges as AI Chip Demand Boosts Profit Outlook

Ibiden Co., Ltd. (TYO:4062) shares climbed sharply on Tuesday after the Japanese semiconductor component manufacturer reported strong annual earnings and raised its forecast for the current fiscal year. The companys stock...

OpenAI-Microsoft Deal Sets $38 Billion Revenue-Sharing Cap Ahead of Potential IPO

OpenAI and Microsoft have reportedly agreed to place a $38 billion cap on total revenue-sharing payments, according to a report published Monday by The Information. The move is seen as part of OpenAIs broader effort to...

Nintendo Shares Tumble as Weak Forecast and Rising Switch 2 Costs Worry Investors

Nintendo shares plunged on Monday after the Japanese gaming giant posted annual earnings that missed analyst expectations and issued a weaker-than-expected outlook for the current fiscal year. The disappointing forecast...
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