New York Legalizes Medical Aid in Dying for Terminally Ill Patients 
Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal 
Bangladesh Election 2026: A Turning Point After Years of Political Suppression 
U.S. Lawmakers to Review Unredacted Jeffrey Epstein DOJ Files Starting Monday 
Nicaragua Ends Visa-Free Entry for Cubans, Disrupting Key Migration Route to the U.S. 
Taiwan Says Moving 40% of Semiconductor Production to the U.S. Is Impossible 
China Overturns Death Sentence of Canadian Robert Schellenberg, Signaling Thaw in Canada-China Relations 
Sydney Braces for Pro-Palestine Protests During Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s Visit 
Ohio Man Indicted for Alleged Threat Against Vice President JD Vance, Faces Additional Federal Charges 
Trump Says “Very Good Talks” Underway on Russia-Ukraine War as Peace Efforts Continue 
China Warns US Arms Sales to Taiwan Could Disrupt Trump’s Planned Visit 
Antonio José Seguro Poised for Landslide Win in Portugal Presidential Runoff 
Jack Lang Resigns as Head of Arab World Institute Amid Epstein Controversy 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
Israel Approves West Bank Measures Expanding Settler Land Access 
Japan Election 2026: Sanae Takaichi Poised for Landslide Win Despite Record Snowfall 
Anutin’s Bhumjaithai Party Wins Thai Election, Signals Shift Toward Political Stability 
As of July 12, 2024, Vice President Kamala Harris has overtaken President Joe Biden in PredictIt’s 2024 general election market, priced at $0.23 compared to Biden’s $0.21. Former President Donald Trump remains the market leader at $0.62.
Donald Trump Leads PredictIt Market for 2024 Election; Harris Surpasses Biden in Democratic Race
As of July 12, 2024, the PredictIt market is a fascinating landscape of uncertainty. Former President Donald Trump (R) is currently priced at $0.62, Vice President Kamala Harris at $0.23, and President Joe Biden (D) at $0.21 in the 2024 presidential general election market.
According to Ballotpedia News, since May 16, 2024, Trump has maintained his position as the market leader, but the share prices of other candidates are close behind, with no other candidate exceeding $0.10. The market's assessment of the likelihood of an event occurring is approximately reflected in the share price, which fluctuates by market demand.
Biden is currently dominating the Democratic presidential primary market at $0.43, with Harris following at $0.38. No other candidate has a share price equal to or greater than $0.10.
Trump is currently the undisputed leader in the Republican presidential primary market, with a commanding share price of $0.94. No other candidate comes close, with a share price equal to or greater than $0.10.
PredictIt Faces Uncertain Future Amid CFTC Rule Proposal to Ban Election Wagering Markets
PredictIt, a pioneering online political futures market, is a powerful tool for understanding the outcome of elections. Users purchase shares based on the outcome of political events using real money. Several contracts are associated with each event, such as an election, each corresponding to a distinct result. Services like PredictIt can provide invaluable insight into the outcome of elections.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) voted 3-2 on May 10, 2024, to issue a rule proposal that could potentially prohibit election wagering markets, according to Reuters. The commission declared its intention to revoke PredictIt's no-action letter on August 4, 2022, with an effective date of February 2023. PredictIt announced on its website that it would cease trading on February 15, 2023, unless the CFTC's policy is altered. In March 2023, the CFTC overturned this decision, enabling the platform to operate legally.
