Emmanuel Macron faces a really big problem if he becomes French president
Mar 06, 2017 12:59 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics
Currently riding high in the polls, Emmanuel Macron, the self-styled beyond left and right candidate for the French election, has been tipped to become the next president in May. But if he does, will he actually run the...

The Victorians are to blame for assumptions that self-harm is just attention-seeking
Mar 06, 2017 12:57 pm UTC| Insights & Views Health
As I know from bitter experience, self-harm is often linked to a desire to seek attention. Whats the point in referring you? a GP once said to me, with obvious irritation, when I asked him for referral to a free, charity...

ECB likely to maintain dovish stance, will continue to look through changes in HICP inflation
Mar 06, 2017 12:19 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks
European Central Bank (ECB) holds monetary policy meeting on 9th this week and we expect no changes to main rates or QE program. The ECB will also publish new growth and inflation projections. The ECB has maintained an...

FxWirePro: EUR/PLN seems attractive carry among outright trades ahead of European political risks
Mar 06, 2017 11:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
In 2016 we recommended a series of defensive trades into the Brexit and US election votes1 because we felt that political risks were underestimated. Going into the French elections we believe it is hard to say that...

Mar 06, 2017 11:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Following the Fed minutes last week, the low signal-to-noise ratio delivered from Washington, and the latest global cyclical data, we see fewer catalysts that would push LatAm currencies weaker versus the USD over the...
Mar 06, 2017 10:37 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views
The JGB curve bull flattened this week as market sentiment turned positive in the wake of the 20y auction on last Thursday. Mexico is becoming a favored destination for yield-hungry Japanese investors as the pesos...

Mar 06, 2017 09:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
We do not chase the strong price action in higher yielding currenciesand stay neutral on ZAR, TRY and RUB. EM local markets have staged an impressive rally in the past three months. The question for investors is whether or...