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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's: Challenges for Russian banking sector amid weakening asset quality and pressure on capital adequacy

Mar 14, 2016 09:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Economy

Economic recession in Russia will continue to negatively affect the operating environment for Russian banks in 2016, as the impact of low oil prices and large depreciation of the ruble continues, says Moodys Investors...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil’s retail sales likely declined again in January

Mar 09, 2016 12:20 pm UTC| Commentary

Brazils retail sales had declined in 2015 by 4.3% and the rate of slowdown continued to rise throughout 2015 with sales dropping 6.9% y/y in Q4, as compared with Q3s 5.7% y/y drop. Retail sales in December were mainly bad,...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil looks almost ungovernable – but it's more robust than it seems

Mar 09, 2016 00:05 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Friday March 4, about 200 federal policemen and 30 tax auditors raided the apartment of former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula), who was taken to Congonhas airport for a three-hour interrogation while...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Moody's places South Africa's Baa2 ratings on review for downgrade

Mar 08, 2016 21:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has today placed the Baa2 bond and issuer ratings of the government of South Africa on review for downgrade. Also placed on review for downgrade were South Africas (P)Baa2/(P)P-2 shelf and MTN...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Any signs of weakness in Turkish economic activity may pressurise CBRT to cut rates

Mar 08, 2016 08:41 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Political pressures on the Turkish central bank might be ignited to cut interest rates if there are any signs of weakness in economic activity. Currently, the CBRT is in a mode of wait-and-see because of the increased...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Growth in Brazil’s intermediate and capital goods may hint at import substitution process

Mar 07, 2016 05:47 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Brazils industrial output unexpectedly grew 0.4% m/m sa in January after declining 0.5% in December, improving the trend slightly. But it still shrank 3.7% 3m/3m sa from 4%. Industrial output, in annual basis, shrank 13.8%...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Markets do not price an imminent hike from BCB

Mar 03, 2016 15:55 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Brazil Copom held the Selic rate unchanged at its meeting on Wednesday, repeating the rationale of its last communiqué - ie, that the decision was reached after evaluating the macroeconomic scenario, inflation...

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Economy

U.S. Inflation Surges in March as Iran War and Tariffs Drive Prices Higher

Marchs Consumer Price Index is expected to post its sharpest monthly increase in nearly four years, driven by skyrocketing oil prices tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict and the ongoing ripple effects of import tariffs. The...

Asian Stocks Rally on Ceasefire Hopes and Bargain Buying

Asian equity markets climbed higher on Friday, driven by cautious optimism surrounding ceasefire negotiations between Iran and the United States. Regional benchmarks were also on track to close out the week with strong...

White House Warns Staff Over Insider Trading Amid Suspicious Oil Market Bets

The White House issued an internal warning to staff on March 24, cautioning employees against exploiting their government positions to gain an unfair advantage in financial futures markets. The directive came just one day...

U.S. Futures Slip as Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty and CPI Data Weigh on Markets

U.S. stock index futures edged slightly lower Thursday evening as investors exercised caution ahead of high-stakes ceasefire negotiations between Washington and Tehran, while bracing for a closely watched inflation report....

Trump Slams Iran Over Strait of Hormuz Oil Restrictions Amid Fragile Ceasefire

President Donald Trump publicly criticized Iran on Thursday over its handling of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions just days after a tentative ceasefire agreement between Washington and...

Politics

Global Elections 2026: What Investors and Markets Are Watching

Political uncertainty is sweeping the globe in 2026, with a series of high-stakes elections poised to reshape economic policies and rattle financial markets. From Eastern Europe to South America, investors are keeping a...

Xi Jinping and KMT's Cheng Li-wun Meet in Beijing Amid Cross-Strait Tensions

Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Kuomintang (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun in Beijing on Friday, emphasizing that people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait share a common Chinese identity and that the future of...

Pilots Fear Retaliation for Refusing Middle East Flights Amid Ongoing Conflict

Airline pilots expressing safety concerns about flying through Middle Eastern airspace are reportedly facing threats of lost wages or termination if they decline assignments, according to Ron Hay, president of the...

Iran Denies Negotiating Team Traveled to Pakistan for U.S. Talks Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

Iran has firmly rejected reports suggesting that a diplomatic delegation traveled to Islamabad to engage in negotiations with the United States, calling the claims entirely false. The denial was issued through state-linked...

U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Under Pressure Ahead of Pakistan Peace Talks

A fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran is showing serious cracks just one day before scheduled peace negotiations in Pakistan. Washington has accused Tehran of violating commitments related to the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Anthropic's Mythos AI Model Sparks Emergency Cybersecurity Meeting With Top U.S. Bank CEOs

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell convened an urgent closed-door meeting with the chief executives of Americas largest banks this week, warning them about serious cybersecurity...

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...