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Emerging Market Crisis Series

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Emerging market economies, such as India, Turkey, Indonesia, LatAm economies which have been a darling of investors even after 2008/09 financial crisis led to cheaper capital access to these economies and its corporates, a trend that continued for more than half a decade at rapid speed. Now, with US Federal Reserve looking to raise borrowing costs and slowdown in China, led these economies and their corporates into greater chaos. We, in this series discuss the vulnerabilities of emerging market.

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Deflation anniversary for India

Nov 16, 2015 07:39 am UTC| Insights & Views

Indias wholesale price index (WPI), one of the key measure of inflation in India, completed its first anniversary of deflation. Thanks to lower oil price, after years of inflation prices have been dropping past one year...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Improved RBI's policy credibility improves investor confidence

Nov 13, 2015 07:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The sell-off in the INR in near-term can be seen as opportunity to re-enter long positions in the currency versus the EUR. If the oil prices remain low, the improvement in Indias current account and fiscal balance...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Brazil's assets likely to deteriorate further

Nov 13, 2015 06:35 am UTC| Commentary

Brazilian assets are likely to deteriorate further. Brazils macroeconomic picture deteriorated substantially and its government is unable to address the fiscal situation. Political maneuver lacks in Brazil on the...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

EM economies: How will capital flows react to Fed hikes?

Nov 12, 2015 22:48 pm UTC| Commentary

In principle, the history of Fed hiking cycles has shown that capital flows into EM can hold up if rising rates do not come as a large surprise (as in 1994) and coincide with a robust outlook for global, and thus EM,...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Emerging market crisis series – India – corporate vulnerability spreading to banks

Nov 11, 2015 11:49 am UTC| Insights & Views

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan, who is an eminent economist, known as Paul Volcker of India (inflation slayer) and among the few who has warned on 2008/09 financial crisis upfront, has been shouting...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Emerging market crisis series – EM central banks need to curb FX volatility

Oct 06, 2015 14:34 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Reserve Bank of Indias (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan has taken up the right approach to curb volatility on the both side, and inform the market of his approach, while declaring that any fixed value of exchange rate is not...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Emerging market crisis series – risks of elevated leverage among corporates

Sep 22, 2015 09:07 am UTC| Insights & Views

As investors ask the critical question,where might the next crisis come from?The answer is usually the same Emerging markets and China. Why is that so? Is it because commodities are down or US dollar is stronger than...

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Economy

U.S. Inflation Surges in March as Iran War and Tariffs Drive Prices Higher

Marchs Consumer Price Index is expected to post its sharpest monthly increase in nearly four years, driven by skyrocketing oil prices tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict and the ongoing ripple effects of import tariffs. The...

Asian Stocks Rally on Ceasefire Hopes and Bargain Buying

Asian equity markets climbed higher on Friday, driven by cautious optimism surrounding ceasefire negotiations between Iran and the United States. Regional benchmarks were also on track to close out the week with strong...

White House Warns Staff Over Insider Trading Amid Suspicious Oil Market Bets

The White House issued an internal warning to staff on March 24, cautioning employees against exploiting their government positions to gain an unfair advantage in financial futures markets. The directive came just one day...

U.S. Futures Slip as Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty and CPI Data Weigh on Markets

U.S. stock index futures edged slightly lower Thursday evening as investors exercised caution ahead of high-stakes ceasefire negotiations between Washington and Tehran, while bracing for a closely watched inflation report....

Trump Slams Iran Over Strait of Hormuz Oil Restrictions Amid Fragile Ceasefire

President Donald Trump publicly criticized Iran on Thursday over its handling of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions just days after a tentative ceasefire agreement between Washington and...

Politics

Global Elections 2026: What Investors and Markets Are Watching

Political uncertainty is sweeping the globe in 2026, with a series of high-stakes elections poised to reshape economic policies and rattle financial markets. From Eastern Europe to South America, investors are keeping a...

Xi Jinping and KMT's Cheng Li-wun Meet in Beijing Amid Cross-Strait Tensions

Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Kuomintang (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun in Beijing on Friday, emphasizing that people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait share a common Chinese identity and that the future of...

Pilots Fear Retaliation for Refusing Middle East Flights Amid Ongoing Conflict

Airline pilots expressing safety concerns about flying through Middle Eastern airspace are reportedly facing threats of lost wages or termination if they decline assignments, according to Ron Hay, president of the...

Iran Denies Negotiating Team Traveled to Pakistan for U.S. Talks Amid Ceasefire Uncertainty

Iran has firmly rejected reports suggesting that a diplomatic delegation traveled to Islamabad to engage in negotiations with the United States, calling the claims entirely false. The denial was issued through state-linked...

U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Under Pressure Ahead of Pakistan Peace Talks

A fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran is showing serious cracks just one day before scheduled peace negotiations in Pakistan. Washington has accused Tehran of violating commitments related to the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Anthropic's Mythos AI Model Sparks Emergency Cybersecurity Meeting With Top U.S. Bank CEOs

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell convened an urgent closed-door meeting with the chief executives of Americas largest banks this week, warning them about serious cybersecurity...

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...