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FxWirePro: Snap rallies to short hedge on momentary cushion for AUD as RBA shrugs off feeble GDP but concerns for labour market and current account balance

Jun 06, 2017 07:36 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank (RBA) left the cash rate unchanged at 1.50% at its board meeting today. The decision was widely expected by markets. A key stand out was the RBAs sanguine view in regards to the domestic economy. The...

FxWirePro: Why is market vol so low despite global monetary policy season?

Jun 06, 2017 06:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Within next fortnight or so, we have series of monetary policy meetings lined up. A very low supply of economic surprises currently is by itself enough to explain the low level of market volatility. RBAs cash rate today...

FxWirePro: Macro trade recommendations – Stay short in AUD vs CHF and EUR, long in CHF vs USD

Jun 05, 2017 14:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

AUD money markets rates have rallied by more than any other G10 currency over the past month (see above chart). In the process, the front-end of the curve has inverted again as rate cuts have started to be priced again...

FxWirePro: Optimized hedging in EUR/USD via costless collar strategy - Capitalize on lower IVs to bid for call writing

Jun 05, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The EURUSD vols have been belligerently sold off in the aftermath of the French presidential election. The markets hailed the election of Macron, shielding a very pro-European programme. The majority of the risk was...

FxWirePro: IVs fumble in Euro options owing to election risk premium in the Italian edition

Jun 05, 2017 11:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Euro options and election risk premium the Italian edition Election risk premium is once again the story in Euro options, this time a potential September/October vote in Italy. EUR-and EUR-cross options spanning September...

Eurozone economic activity maintains solid rate of expansion in May, indicates sustained recovery

Jun 05, 2017 11:44 am UTC| Insights & Views

Eurozone business activity remained strong in May, as indicated by survey compiled by IHS Markit. Markits eurozone final composite Purchasing Managers Index came in at 56.8 in May, unchanged from both Aprils index and the...

FxWirePro: CLP underperformance upside down - Deploy USD/CLP NDFs to hedge

Jun 05, 2017 11:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Stay short in 3m USDCLP NDF: Sell USDCLP 3m NDF at 672.85 with the target at 640 (5.1%) and stop above the top end of the range at 684 (-1.65%). The trading horizon is 3 month and it offers a positive carry of...

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Economy

Australia Trade Balance Swings to Surprise Deficit as Imports Outpace Exports in May

Australia recorded an unexpected trade deficit in May after stronger import growth outpaced solid gains in exports, signaling a shift in the countrys trade performance and raising concerns about second-quarter economic...

US Stock Futures Hold Steady Ahead of June Jobs Report as Fed Rate Outlook Remains in Focus

U.S. stock index futures traded little changed late Wednesday after Wall Street ended a volatile session lower, as investors looked ahead to the closely watched June nonfarm payrolls report for fresh signals on the Federal...

Asian Stocks Slide as Chip Shares Tumble Ahead of Key U.S. Jobs Report

Asian stock markets fell sharply on Thursday as investors locked in profits from semiconductor stocks after a strong second quarter rally, while financial markets turned their attention to the upcoming U.S. nonfarm...

Gold Price Holds Above $4,000 as Fed Rate Hike Expectations and U.S. Jobs Data Weigh on Market

Gold prices steadied during early Asian trading on Thursday as investors awaited the release of the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for fresh clues on the Federal Reserves next interest rate move. Despite a...

Oil Prices Slip as Iran Talks and Strong Supply Outlook Ease Market Concerns

Oil prices moved lower on Thursday as traders continued to evaluate easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and growing confidence in global crude supplies. Improving expectations for oil exports from the Gulf region,...

Politics

Ukraine War: Russian Drone Attack Sparks Hotel Fire in Central Kyiv

Russian forces launched a fresh drone attack on Ukraines capital, Kyiv, late Wednesday, causing a major fire at a hotel in the city center and scattering debris across multiple districts, according to local officials. The...

Trump Administration to Launch Voluntary AI Standards for Frontier Models

The Trump administration is preparing to introduce a new set of voluntary standards for advanced artificial intelligence models as early as next week, according to a Financial Times report. The move is expected to provide...

JD Vance Criticizes Vatican on Immigration, Defends Trump Border Policies

U.S. Vice President JD Vance said he disagrees with the Vaticans position on immigration, calling some of its recent comments troubling after Pope Leo repeatedly criticized President Donald Trumps immigration policies and...

U.S. Military Expands Venezuela Earthquake Relief Mission as Troop Presence Tops 900

The United States has significantly expanded its military presence in Venezuela to support humanitarian relief efforts following last weeks devastating earthquakes, with more than 900 U.S. personnel now operating inside...

Ukraine Preparing for Possible Russian Offensive From Bryansk, Military Chief Says

Ukraine is preparing for a possible new Russian offensive from the countrys northern border, although a direct assault on Kyiv is considered unlikely, according to Ukraines top military commander, Oleksandr Syrskyi....

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Eyes Chinese Memory Chips as AI Shortage Pressures iPhone Supply Chain

Apple Inc. is reportedly in advanced discussions to source memory chips from Chinese semiconductor makers ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) and Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC), as the company works to secure...

Meta Stock Jumps as AI Cloud Expansion Challenges AWS, Microsoft, and Google

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) surged 8.8% on Wednesday after a Bloomberg report revealed the company is preparing to enter the cloud infrastructure market by offering excess artificial intelligence (AI) computing capacity...

Anthropic Restores Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 After U.S. Lifts AI Export Controls

Anthropic announced late Tuesday that the U.S. government has lifted export restrictions on its Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 artificial intelligence models, allowing the company to begin restoring user access starting...

South Korea Alleges Google Abused Android App Store Dominance, Eyes Major Fine

South Koreas antitrust regulator has accused Alphabets Google of abusing its dominant position in the Android app marketplace, a move that could result in a significant financial penalty and new corrective measures if the...

Microsoft Reportedly Plans New Job Cuts Across Sales, Consulting, and Xbox

Microsoft is reportedly preparing another round of job cuts as the technology giant continues to reduce costs while increasing investment in artificial intelligence, according to a Business Insider report published...