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FxWirePro: USD/TRY FVAs hedge seems more appealing

Jan 31, 2017 09:25 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is merit in earning carry in risk efficient form, and we sell USDTRY 1Yx1Y FVAs hedged with a static vanilla ATM call. USDTRY 1Yx1Y FVAs an appealing shorts, we are not chasing the drop in USD gamma lower;...

FxWirePro: Two FX derivatives trades for USD/RUB on threats of potential CBR FX interventions

Jan 31, 2017 07:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In upcoming Russian monetary policy meeting, the CBR to remain on hold at 10%. Recent CBR rhetoric has been fairly cautious and we dont think the CBR would act at a non-core meeting (the next core meeting is in March)....

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Deploy AUD/USD option combinations - ITM put versus OTM call to match IV skews and delta risk reversals on tight range

Jan 31, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUD remained in ranging mode, mostly between 0.7747 and 0.7162: Remains contained in a consolidative range of 0.7500-0.7600. AUDUSD in medium term perspective: Lower to 0.7400. The US dollars impressive post-election...

Global Geopolitics Series

China: globalisation’s unlikely champion

Jan 30, 2017 17:25 pm UTC| Insights & Views

We live in an era of unprecedented and frequently bewildering change. Shocks and surprises are the order of the day, none more so or more consequential than the election of Donald Trump as the 45th president of the...

Shorten's three major economic priorities: 'jobs, jobs and jobs'

Jan 30, 2017 17:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Bill Shorten will put creating new jobs, sustaining existing ones, and training and retraining Australian jobseekers at the heart of his economic agenda in a major speech on Tuesday. In whats seen as a formal opening to...

Why the US and Britain are not democracies

Jan 30, 2017 16:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Surely the United States and Britain are democracies. After all, they have free and fair elections and representative governments; freedom of speech and association means that dissent and demonstrations are tolerated; all...

Briferendum Aftermath Series

Brexatom: the UK will now leave Europe's nuclear energy authority

Jan 30, 2017 16:43 pm UTC| Insights & Views

The UK governments European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill is short, extremely short, at just 137 words, but will nevertheless have huge ramifications. Tucked away in the Commentary on provisions of Bill is the...

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Economy

Oil Prices Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Keep Geopolitical Risks in Focus

Oil prices edged higher on Wednesday as uncertainty surrounding U.S.-Iran peace negotiations continued to support crude markets, even as record U.S. oil production pointed to improving global supply. Traders remained...

Gold Price Drops to Eight-Month Low as Fed Rate Hike Bets Weigh on Bullion. Source: Photo by Michael Steinberg via Pexels

Gold prices extended their losses during Asian trading on Wednesday, with bullion hovering near an eight-month low after recording its steepest quarterly decline in 13 years. Growing expectations that the Federal Reserve...

UN Chief Urges Nations to Close $100 Million UNRWA Funding Gap

United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has appealed to member states to urgently fill a $100 million funding gap facing the U.N. Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), warning...

NATO Albania Summit Faces Uncertainty as Trump, Defense Spending Concerns Loom

Plans for NATO to hold its 2027 leaders summit in Albania have been thrown into question as alliance members prepare for next weeks gathering in Turkey, according to Reuters, citing a NATO diplomat, a European official,...

Chip Stocks Rally as Samsung and SK Hynix’s $1.3 Trillion Investment Plan Boosts AI Optimism

Chip-equipment stocks surged on Tuesday after reports that South Koreas semiconductor leaders, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, plan to invest up to $1.3 trillion in new semiconductor manufacturing projects, reinforcing...

Politics

Trump Prioritizes Iran Diplomacy Over Military Action as Nuclear Talks Continue

President Donald Trump has decided to keep diplomatic negotiations with Iran on track for now, despite recently reviewing options for renewed large-scale military action, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing...

Netanyahu Says Israel Will Stay in Southern Lebanon Until Hezbollah Threat Ends

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday that Israeli forces will remain in southern Lebanon until the threat posed by Iran-backed Hezbollah is eliminated, signaling that Israel has no immediate plans to...

DOE Declares Power Grid Emergency as Extreme Heat Strains PJM Electricity Supply

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has declared an emergency across the nations largest power grid as extreme heat drives electricity demand to critical levels, raising concerns about power supply reliability. In an...

DOJ Orders Crackdown on Birth Tourism After Supreme Court Upholds Birthright Citizenship

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has instructed federal prosecutors to intensify investigations into alleged birth tourism schemes following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that rejected President Donald Trumps effort to...

Trump Suspends Some Morocco Fertilizer Tariffs to Ease U.S. Supply Shortage

U.S. President Donald Trump has authorized the temporary suspension of certain duties on phosphate fertilizer imports from Morocco in an effort to ease fertilizer shortages affecting American farmers, the White House...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Restores Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 After U.S. Lifts AI Export Controls

Anthropic announced late Tuesday that the U.S. government has lifted export restrictions on its Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 artificial intelligence models, allowing the company to begin restoring user access starting...

South Korea Alleges Google Abused Android App Store Dominance, Eyes Major Fine

South Koreas antitrust regulator has accused Alphabets Google of abusing its dominant position in the Android app marketplace, a move that could result in a significant financial penalty and new corrective measures if the...

Microsoft Reportedly Plans New Job Cuts Across Sales, Consulting, and Xbox

Microsoft is reportedly preparing another round of job cuts as the technology giant continues to reduce costs while increasing investment in artificial intelligence, according to a Business Insider report published...

Nvidia Stock Rises as SemiAnalysis Sees AI Data Center Revenue Beating Wall Street Forecasts

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares rebounded on the final trading day of the quarter after bullish supply-chain research from independent semiconductor firm SemiAnalysis suggested the AI chipmakers data center business could...

TSMC CoWoS Capacity Forecast Raised as Mizuho Sees AI Server CPU Demand Surging Through 2027

Mizuho Securities Asia has increased its forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.s (TSMC) advanced CoWoS packaging capacity, citing a much stronger outlook for artificial intelligence (AI) server processors and...
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