China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook 
BOJ Policymakers Warn Weak Yen Could Fuel Inflation Risks and Delay Rate Action 
Dollar Holds Firm as Markets Weigh Warsh-Led Fed and Yen Weakness Ahead of Japan Election 
Oil Prices Slide Nearly 3% as U.S.-Iran Talks Ease Geopolitical Tensions 
Asian Markets Slide as Silver Volatility, Earnings Season, and Central Bank Meetings Rattle Investors 
Asian Currencies Hold Firm as Dollar Rebounds on Fed Chair Nomination Hopes 
China Manufacturing PMI Slips Into Contraction in January as Weak Demand Pressures Economy 
India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures 
Philippines Manufacturing PMI Hits Nine-Month High Despite Weak Confidence Outlook 
Gold and Silver Prices Plunge as Trump Taps Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair 
JPMorgan Lifts Gold Price Forecast to $6,300 by End-2026 on Strong Central Bank and Investor Demand 
U.S.–Venezuela Relations Show Signs of Thaw as Top Envoy Visits Caracas 
U.S. Government Faces Brief Shutdown as Congress Delays Funding Deal 
IMF Forecasts Global Inflation Decline as Growth Remains Resilient 
Starmer’s China Visit Highlights Western Balancing Act Amid U.S.-China Rivalry 
Japan Election Poll Signals Landslide Win for Sanae Takaichi, Raising Fiscal Policy Concerns 
Asian currencies and the U.S. dollar traded largely unchanged on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy. Powell stressed the difficulty of balancing inflation control with employment risks, noting that there is no “risk-free path” as the central bank manages persistent price pressures alongside weakening job growth.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of major peers, inched up 0.1% and held near post-Fed decision levels. Futures tied to the index also rose 0.1% in early Asian trading. Powell’s remarks left markets uncertain about the timing of the next rate cut, though investors continue to price in two additional cuts this year in line with Fed guidance. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee later echoed that the central bank has room to lower borrowing costs if inflation trends lower, but warned against aggressive easing given ongoing inflation risks.
Currency markets responded with muted moves. The Japanese yen’s USD/JPY pair gained 0.1%, while the South Korean won’s USD/KRW stayed flat. The Singapore dollar’s USD/SGD edged up 0.1%, and the Indian rupee’s USD/INR showed little change. In China, both the onshore yuan (USD/CNY) and offshore yuan (USD/CNH) rose 0.1%. Traders now look ahead to Friday’s U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
The standout performer was the Australian dollar. The Aussie rose 0.4% against the greenback after consumer price index (CPI) data showed a 3.0% year-over-year rise in August, slightly above forecasts and the fastest pace in a year. The figure hit the top of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2–3% target range, raising doubts about further rate cuts despite earlier signals of easing. Markets expect the RBA to hold its 3.6% cash rate steady at its September 29–30 meeting before potentially trimming rates in November.
Meanwhile, New Zealand appointed Anna Breman as the new Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, effective December 1. Breman, a former Deputy Governor at Sweden’s Riksbank, becomes the first woman and first foreign national to lead the RBNZ. The New Zealand dollar, however, remained flat against the U.S. dollar.
