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Bitcoin's Path to $140,000: Momentum Indicator Hints at July Surge

Bitcoin's bullish trend indicated by the Bollinger Bands suggests a potential July peak.

An analyst interpreting the "Bollinger Band" momentum indicator suggests Bitcoin might reach $140,000 by July. This potential doubling from its current $69,000 follows historical patterns of significant price jumps after closing two consecutive months above the upper Bollinger Band.

Bitcoin's Bullish Forecast: Doubling in Value by July Amidst Technical and Market Optimism

In a recent report by Cointelegraph, according to an analyst's interpretation of a popular momentum indicator, Bitcoin's price could double from its current $69,000 in as little as three months.

Pseudonymous analyst TechDev told their 440,000 followers on X that Bitcoin had closed two consecutive months above the upper Bollinger Band and that every time it had done so in the past, its price had doubled within three months.

This would put Bitcoin at approximately $140,000 by July. Bollinger Bands is a technical analysis tool that measures an asset's momentum and volatility within a defined range. Typically, when prices touch the upper band, it indicates an overbought signal, whereas touching the lower band indicates an oversold asset.

However, Bollinger Bands are just one of many technical indicators available to analysts, and according to Investopedia, they are more reactive than predictive due to their reliance on past price action and volatility data. The metrics can also vary significantly during peak bull and bear markets.

Meanwhile, SkyBridge Capital CEO Anthony Scaramucci told CNBC on April 6 that Bitcoin could reach $170,000 during the cycle and eventually trade for roughly half the total value of the global gold market.

"I'm simply saying it could trade to half the valuation of gold, which is around six to eight to ten times move from here."

He added, "It's not going to happen overnight, and there will be a lot of volatility."

Bitcoin currently has a market capitalization of $1.35 trillion, while gold is worth $15.8 trillion. If Bitcoin were to trade at half the value of gold, its market capitalization would need to grow roughly sixfold from here, resulting in a price of approximately $400,000 per BTC.

Scaramucci referred to the ten recently approved spot Bitcoin ETFs as "selling machines," arguing that they would only increase retail and institutional demand for the cryptocurrency.

The spot Bitcoin ETFs have received over $12 billion in net inflows (excluding Grayscale). In contrast, when the Gold ETF (GLD) debuted in November 2004, it took nearly a year to generate $10 billion in inflows. Scaramucci, like many other market commentators, saw the upcoming Bitcoin halving, scheduled for April 20, as a significant catalyst for short-term price appreciation.

Crypto Market to Surge: Ripple's CEO Foresees $5 Trillion Valuation by Year-End

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse shared the optimism, predicting that the total value of the cryptocurrency sector would double by the end of the year.

In an April 7 CNBC report, Garlinghouse predicted that the entire crypto sector would be worth $5 trillion by the end of the year. He cited the upcoming halving, regulatory developments, and growing popularity of Bitcoin ETFs as positively impacting wider crypto adoption.

"I've been around this industry for a long time, and I've seen these trends come and go," Garlinghouse said.

"I'm very optimistic. I think the macro trends, the big picture things like the ETFs, they're driving for the first time real institutional money."

Photo: Microsoft Bing

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